Third day straight, Monday’s model looks chest to shoulder high with my guess head high plus drops in the morning, till maybe noon.  Then just a few inches smaller. 

Could be fairly glassy too, mostly down south because of SSW to maybe SW winds, but looking more 8-12 mph SSW winds. 

Saturday just plain overhead big chop with those times at the pier where it has an illusive clean look too it for an hour or so.

Sunday afternoon, at Playalinda could be hard hard offshore wind with 1 to 3 foot overhead faces.  More side chop to slight onshore for the Cape to Minuteman.  A little cleaner down south.

Video below, from 2015 Billabong XXL Ride of the Year Entry clip at Jaws, Maui.   Grant ‘Twiggy” Baker from South Africa on a nice perfect medium huge Jaws face and a mega long ride :)

 

Get excited folks, waves coming!

Oldwaverider


How does the weekend look for waves?

A solid wind/maybe mild groundswell (the swell period is only 9 which technically does not qualify for ground swell :)  ),  but there is enough form to the Swell Period to get excited.

Sunday could have well ovehead big wind chop with a chance of semi-clean waves with strong South winds Sunday late afternoon.  PLAYALINDA COULD BE FANTASTIC!  Playalinda faces 32 degrees offshore with direct South winds.  Sebastian Inlet, 26 degrees offshore with direct South.  The rest of our breaks, South is only a teaser :)

Monday could be chest to shoulder high with bigger face takeoffs, and semi-glassy with brisk winds SSW.  It’s 4 days out, so this is only in the 37.5% chance range, but it has been consistent 2 days running.  It could be 75-80 degrees and Sunny , also on Monday!

We’ll post more as the swell gets a day away!


More later, but Sunday morning could bring some fun waves.  Waist to chest high, and right now, Weather.com says SW winds turning SSW by noon on Sunday.

I was browsing videos of the Unheard of Perfect and huge swell of Summer of 2012 Cloudbreak, Figi, and the footage of instead back door massive barrels blew my mind. Absolutely amazing footage!


6:50 PM Update Wednesday night.  Thursday morning, Now it appears that 8 Am or so, the winds could be NNW to NW for a couple hours, very light.  The tide is high tide going low at 6:45 AM, perfect.  And the strength of this wind swell is slowly coming in over night.  Thursday morning, We could have waist to chest high waves, most likely waist at the Cape and Chest high in Satellite Beach.

Friday morning the swell is supposed to strengthen to 9 second period from 8 seconds expected on Thursday morning.  So the winds will blow offshore fairly strong by mid-morning Thursday night/Friday morning, maybe up to 10-12 mph westerly.  We have a few hours of NNW to NW Friday morning, so it could be a little better than Thursday morning. Should be stomach to chest high at least down south.


Could we have some rideable surf Sunday afternoon?  Yeah!

It hit 15 feet at 10 seconds 3 times since 5 PM tonight.  But, the winds are hollowing, a lot faster out there offshore, than they are here.  Around 35-40 mph, so it could prevent the swell from hitting till Monday.  I’ll give it 50/50  that Sunday afternoon,we have waist to chest high waves, with 15-20 mph NNW winds around 3 PM Sunday.

I put the Swell Period chart in here, so you could see a solid 10 second period almost ground swell here by Sunday afternoon. (if the strong west winds don’t hold it offshore a full day)

11-02-14-Swell-Period-Chart-for-Sunday-3PM-from-MagicseaweedWater temp is 76 degrees, and with high winds out there, a vest will be perhaps necessary gear :)

Enjoy the cool weather !

Oldwaverider


Saturday Morning and Hurricane Gonzalo was so Epic at day break, when most of the Walls were peeling fast but makeable.  Saturday, October 18 2014 that is.  Not until 9:30 Am or so, did it be come more challenging to choose a wave :)  The video below is the second and probably last long one from Gonzalo.  I shot about 250 clips that day, 150 in Satellite and 100 at the Pier. (Note: the video is still uploading at YouTube and should be done by 1:30 PM or before)


Those of you that were there at our Awesome Rock Break in Satellite Beach, know who you are, and where this was shot.  Thanks for all your great surfing, and footage for me to devour!

And I would like to note, that the biggest wall/wave that came in, was caught by a young lady, and she made the most perfect drop (the wave was peeling fast, but perfect), and I may slow motion that clip by itself, to upload to Magicseaweed.com at the Satellite Beach location, where I have most of my photos and videos posted.

So I had to toss a couple barrels in here in kind of a slow motion (yeah I did take two from last video),  just to show the insides of the barrel, and this one guy with an excellent off the lip on an Epic wave in form and size.

There were quite a few 10 foot faces to show that morning, though the common sets were 6-8 foot faces.  The video is about 4 minutes long, and I did it in 1080P, cause the 720P version annoyed me, LOL :)

I hope you enjoy.  AND THANK YOU YOU TUBE FOR PERMITTING ME TO UPLOAD 1080p VIDEO!

Oh, and we do have 3 -5 days of big chop surf coming by Sunday night, Monday morning.

And there is a Surf contest at Spessard Holland Park in Melbourne Beach for Groms, by Gnarly Charlie!.  Details are here: https://www.facebook.com/events/1483099941961312/

Have a Great Hump Day folks, and let me know what you think of video!

Oldwaverider (Art)


When we first got to RC’s North at 7:15-7:30, the lines were epic!  I had to earnestly look for a closeout.  After my 2 hours, yes, the closeouts began.  When I started to shoot footage;  but there were still plenty of Waves holding up still from 10 – 12 PM!

(NOTE: To see the best quality, click two of the lower right YouTube icons on the controls.  Click the gear and choose at least 720P or if u have great bandwidth go for 1080P.  Also choose the “Full Screen” icon on the far right, and then start the video over so the quality kicks in.  YouTube defaults at 360P and I can’t blame them!  Turn your volume up too for the Music)

The crowds were nill, yeah, the paddle out and the sets looked intimidating (for Florida, LOL),  but when you see perfect 6-9 foot faces , with a 10 foot face thrown in every 15 minutes or so, heading back North to Cocoa Beach and the Cape did not seem like an option :)

Today, we have waist to chest high plus with winds SW at 2nd light wind monitor at the base, and that was around 6 at 8:30 AM, which already changed from WNW.  Get out while you can!

Great Hurricane;  though I do hope and pray Bermuda came out okay …

Oldwaverider


10-16-14-Image-1-Swell-Period-Chart-9AM--from-Magicseaweed

10-16-14-Image-1-Swell-Period-Chart-9AM–from-Magicseaweed

Finally it hit the Ft. Pierce buoy 2.6 feet at 13 seconds.  First 13 second reading. As of 12:25 PM Update.  As I said earlier , The swell is coming in, the power swell I should say, but it maybe 4 PM till we fully feel it and see it!
(Note:  The Ft Pierce buoy is only 9 miles offshore vs our 20 mile buoy which the 13 second nor even 11 second part of the swell has not hit ours.  But now that it has hit the Ft Pierce buoy, by 1:30 or 2:30 latest, we should start to see some size and power.  Also note,  It also hit the Fernandina Beach buoy at 13 seconds like 3 different readings since 9 AM this morning.  But they don’t have the Bahamas and a Cape Island that sticks out and blocks us like we do)

It hit the 120 buoy last night at 1 AM, in the 11-14 second range.   Take a look at the 4 images below and it will make sense, well, kinda :)

10-16-14-Image-2-Swell-Period-Chart-12PM--from-Magicseaweed

10-16-14-Image-2-Swell-Period-Chart-12PM–from-Magicseaweed

Today, we may only see head high before darkBut don’t be surprised if late morning Friday, we see some 2-3 foot overhead faces on the big set waves.    Remember, Hurricane Leslie in 2012 was only like 4.3 feet at 12 seconds and we had some 11 foot face wave sets)

So Friday, I believe head high to overhead will happen and with 1-3 foot overhead sets in Satellite Beach, and maybe some at the Pier.  Winds offshore till late morning, NNW to maybe NW winds.

Saturday, chest to head high with offshore winds all day.

Sunday, waist to stomach plus with offshore winds most of the day.

The first 3 images are the moving Period chart of the swell (which shows the fetch or width of the storm and it’s relative strength at each of the different colors).  The first is 9 Am this morning, then 12 Pm followed by 3 Pm.   Notice the bright Green does not fully wrap our coast at the Cape until 3 Pm.   Now this model is from 6 AM this morning.  The fourth image is the swell size at 3 Pm which just shows us the size to expect and what the power should be based on the period.   This is why we are waiting.  And maybe cause the winds are a lot stronger West out at the 120 and the 20 mile buoy, so that may be slowing it down some.  a 14 second period swell travels across sea at over 20 mph (11 second travels about 17 mph, so just interpolate :)

10-16-14-Image-3-Swell-Period-Chart-3PM--from-Magicseaweed

10-16-14-Image-3-Swell-Period-Chart-3PM–from-Magicseaweed

10-16-14-Image-4-Swell-Size-Chart-3PM--from-Magicseaweed

10-16-14-Image-4-Swell-Size-Chart-3PM–from-Magicseaweed


When will the Groundswell part of Hurricane Gonzalo hit our beaches?  It appears to hit Thursday morning at daybreak, but we have a windswell that may bring some waves Wednesday afternoon in the thigh to waist high range.

10-14-14-Image-1-Hurricane-Gonzalo-Hurricane-Stats-at-930PM-Tuesday-from-AccuweatherBelow are first an image with the stats of Gonzalo, which has now hit a Category 3 Hurricane.  Pray for Bermuda folks!

The second image shows a clearer path and schedule of the storm.

Thursday, Gonzalo waves will be building all day and could reach in the chest to head high by 5 PM or so.  Winds should be NW or WNW in the 8 – 12 mph range.  Could make for some incredible lip spray for the challenge of dropping in fast to beat the blindness, LOL :)

Friday, noon to afternoon could be the biggest size of the swell.  We could see head high to 2 foot overhead sets as you head south to Satellite Beach. With stiff NNW winds probably some NW (3 days out, is a 50% accuracy guess, based upon obsessive compulsive desires for storm tracking for Hurricanes :),   but these winds could be slowing down all afternoon to the 10 mph range abouts by 4 or 5 PM.  

Hurricane Gonzalo's path, as of 9:30 PM Tuesday night, 10/14, compliments of Accuweather.com

Hurricane Gonzalo’s path, as of 9:30 PM Tuesday night, 10/14, compliments of Accuweather.com

Saturday looks fun chest to head high and glassy.

Sunday looks a lot smaller but still rideable and glassy.

GET EXCITED FOLKS!  THIS COULD BE THE MOST ENJOYABLE SWELL OF THE YEAR :)

Old-optimistic-waverider :)


Hurricane-Gonzalo-Swell-Chart-for-Friday-10-17-14-at-6AM-as-of-Monday-10-13-14-6AM, Image compliments of Magicseaweed.comWhat can we expect from Tropical Storm, soon to be Hurricane Gonzalo?

Overhead Waves!  More on Tuesday , allowing for another day for the model to build.  We may have two Big , Offshore wind days and Overhead, between Thursday and Sunday, since the storm is nicely,  600-800 miles offshore :)

Tropical-then-Hurricane-Gonzalo-Columbus-Day-morn-1030-AM-10-13-14, Image, compliments of Magicseaweed.com