Tropical Storm Emily update plus Surf Report Wednesday night (at 9:30 Pm) and Surf Forecast for Cape Canaveral n Cocoa Beach (posted August 03, 2011)


Tropical Storm Emily has stalled as of 8 PM tonight (Wed) but still should throw some waves.  Image compliments of stormpulse.com
Tropical Storm Emily has stalled as of 8 PM tonight (Wed) but still should throw some waves. Image compliments of stormpulse.com

The mental roller coaster continues…………….Ya know, the independence of a Tropical Storm/Hurricane , it just kinda changes its mind when it wants,

Tropical Storm Emily has stalled as of 8 PM tonight, but it does still have 50 mph winds.  It’s border is skimming Haiti and the Dominican Republic.   So right now the models dropped from 6 to 7 feet at around 11 seconds to 3.5 at 9 seconds.  This I feel will jump back up again, a little, but if not, it’s still showing for Sunday, chest to shoulder-high wave potential by Patrick/Satellite and waist to chest here at the Cape with NW winds brisk but not too strong.

Thursday morning call; still iffy.  We may have a rideable swell and we might not, but as of 9:30 PM it hasn’t hit the 120 buoy, not above 2.6 at 9 secs, and we really want 3.5 to 4.0 feet min at the 120 to even hope for waist-high waves tomorrow.  It still looks like a 20 % chance of having waist-high plus before 10 Am, the winds should be offshore SW in the 5 to 8 mph range till mid-morning.  (What’s with this percent thing 😉

Friday I have more confidence of having some fun waist to chest high waves down south and waist here in the Cape.  Friday morning looks like SW winds again in the 4 to 8 range.

Saturday still looks like a stall and with light on shores in the Am and increasing on shores throughout the day up to 15 ish.  Size by evening, chest high plus.

Sunday, if the models hold as they are, we may see nothing.  But, if the storm moves again, then chest high plus with NW winds which means, your best shot is a break North of Minuteman Causeway to look for a North wind break.

Hopefully the model picks up, but whatever, we should have at least a couple days of fun waves 🙂

We’ll talk Thursday some time.

oldwaverider

Tropical Storm Emily update plus Surf Report Wednesday morning (at 8:45 Am) and Surf Forecast for Cape Canaveral n Cocoa Beach (posted August 03, 2011)


Emily looks to be best positioned for offshore winds and overhead for Sunday.  Compliments of Stormpulse.com
Emily looks to be best positioned for offshore winds and overhead for Sunday. Compliments of Stormpulse.com

Okay, Emily in brief.

Thursday morning, possible late morning ground swell, but that may be iffy.  It is not really from Emily, but it could be waist to chest, ssw offshore winds.

Friday morning, this is part of Emily, and should be chest high (down south of course), ssw to sw winds.  Emily stalls out here and size does not build until afternoon Saturday.

Saturday morning Emily is building , it may be waist to chest with light onshore winds early and sloppy strong onshore winds in the afternoon, and by late afternoon and evening it will get big probably overhead a little down south but be choppy all day, cause when a hurricane or TS is straight off our coast the winds have not come around offshore yet.  (SEE PICTURE TO SEE STORM LOCATION)

Sunday morning, should be offshore, overhead, probably west winds offshore brisk in the 8 to 15 mph winds, but my guess, 2 foot overhead down south and head high plus at the Cape.

The winds I can’t accurately predict until 36 hours ahead of the predicted time period I’m talking about.  So tonight I will give you some more accurate winds for Friday and Thursday and also if the first ground swell does actually hit the 120 buoy, or if we can only expect real waves for Sunday (offshore) and Saturday late afternoon big and onshore.

oldwaverider