Wednesday is still painted for the now, “epic” day potential. 4 days running, the models have been showing 5 ft 11 second period swell (groundswell) with a chance of offshore winds. Chest to Overhead, North going South to Satellite Beach, with larger sets.
That offshore wind forecast for Cocoa Beach as of multiple checks by me today for Wednesday morning is showing, WSW winds at daybreak 5 mph SSW by 1 PM (yeah, the time is iffy along with the wind direction, but…we are in our 48 hour window or less, where I place 80 % stock that the winds will comply 🙂 Then the winds are to turn S to SSE after 1 PM.
Oh Tuesday, my bad; same forecast as Sunday night with waist to chest high in the Am, 6 to 10 mph SE winds and decreasing thru the day. The swell is growing fast thru the day so a couple hours before dark, we should see some Shoulder high faces on the larger sets at the Cape, and definite overhead sets down South in Satellite Beach.
Air temps max around 73 PM Tuesday, and around 79 and Sunny on Wednesday with some clouds. Water temps near shore around 68.5 so Wednesday will be skinnable, definitely rash-guardable 🙂
Tuesday morning surf.Chest high at the Cape, maybe some shoulder high sets, but only on the rogue sets. Satellite Beach, overhead up to maybe 1 to 2 feet.
Winds are showing SSW at 5 to 8 mph at the Cape and for Cocoa Beach Tuesday morning.Satellite Beach is showing SW winds.
Butthis morning meaning, Monday morning, my wind weather plugin check for the Cape, CCB and Satellite Beach showed South winds at 15 mph, butwhen I woke at 6 AM, the plugins changed to SSW, but when I went out at Hightowers/RC’s, the winds were WSW at less than 5 mph, so this storm has been very iffy, much more than any other Storms or Hurricanes, so we may have the same gift Tuesday morning 🙂
Maybe it will be solid SW winds at the Cape instead of SSW at 7 mph.
HOW THE WAVES WERE TODAY…….Man, did I hit the wrong focus button today, I took 150 pics, but the view finder is so small, I assumed the focus was set from the day before, and the bright sun kept me from actually seeing it, …Notttttttttttt!!!!!!!!!!!!! Sorry, I’ll only show you 3 of the 150 pics from Hightowers today just so you can see the 6 foot overhead on the drop waves.
Hightowers was solid 9 to 12 foot faces, with an occasional rogue/freak set that broke 60 yards outside completely before it got to us. Crazy. One guy had a jet-ski to pull his friend out at RC’s side of Hightowers. It was still double overhead on the faces for the large sets still when I left at 12.
Johnson was like 2 foot overhead and the pier 3 foot overhead on the big set waves (as I was told 🙂
9:30 PM Sunday night update from the 7:30 report. It has hit 22 to 23 feet at the 120 mile buoy at 11 seconds from like 6 to 8:30 PM, and for the last 7 hours (from 12 to 7 PM) it has hit 21 feet at the 20 mile buoy. So when the 120 rolls in about 4 Am to the 20 mile buoy, that buoy could hit 24 feet which might mean 15 foot plus wave faces sizes in Satellite. This is rising way above the models, but ya never know if it really means anything or not. We will let ya know in the morning. Back to the 7:30 PM report just below here:
Monday morning surf report 🙂 The winds are being really flaky, but……..
Size in Satellite Beach, should be 10 to 12 foot faces plus at daybreak until probably 11 or noon, and then start dropping off slowly. Winds, South from 7 AM until 1 or 2 PM in the 15 to 2o mph range. The Cape should be head high to 2 or 3 feet overhead on the bigger sets. Winds are also South after 7 AM at the Cape which is onshore winds, so North is not a good call.
The winds are supposed to slow down 30 plus mph ENE at 8 PM tonight to 17 or 18 mph SSE around 4 AM. They switch to South by 7 AM. If it does clean up enough, it will take 3 or 4 hours. Playalinda or Melbourne Beach to Sebastian are the places to be because the winds would be 22 to 32 degrees offshore at those surf breaks.
Hightower Beach, South winds are around 10 degrees offshore and at 15 mph plus at 10 or 11 AM, it won’t be glassy, but it could have some fairly clean huge shoulders. (huge for Florida 🙂
High tide is around 7 AM so 10 Am paddle out time, is a good time, for tide and wind to mellow out the chop.
If we receive a gift, maybe it will turn a little SSW for a couple hours, don’t count on it, just hope for it.
North or Patrick AFB (technically N of Minuteman Cswy) will be chop city since South winds are onshore up North.
Full size images below if you want to click on them and see full screen.
Sunday afternoon, Cape Canaveral waves; Slightly windy and clean medium size lines…….hah, in some other part of the world 😉
Today its big, it’s choppy, the wind will blow the hat right off your head, but the dark sky and intense ocean were really cool…
Back to surf update in a minute; The 3 photo sequence are from Johnson Ave at the Cape on Sunday October 2nd 2011 Hurricane Ophelia, round two. The size jacked up a foot or two on the face from about 10 Am to 11 :30 Am, and these pics I took at around 11:40. I don’t know who the guy is out there, but he looks like middle-aged, and he knows how to surf well.
Today around 11 AM or so, It looked like 8 foot plus faces outside at the Cape, but since no one’s out there, that’s just a guess. I do know that it is at least 4 foot bigger on the face in Satellite Beach. At 25 to 40 mph ene winds, who cares ? 🙂
>>>At 9:15 PM tonight (Saturday), the 120 mile buoy reading showed a climb to 16.5 feet at 10 seconds in the late afternoon, and 15.5 at 8 PM.At 6 PM the 20 mile buoy hit 19 feet at 11 seconds, and 17 feet at 11 seconds at 8 PM, so we ought to see some double overhead waves in Satellite Beach for sure on Sunday.<<<
Monday, right now the surf site models are conflicting with the weather channel, but there’s always a 6 hour lag on huge swells. Monday is showing a possible offshore SSW to SW winds day of 10 feet at 10 second period for Satellite Beach, which translates to 10 to 12 foot faces. The winds look to be in the 12 to 15 mph SW range.
Playalinda, would be the place to be, because the weather channel model shows South winds at daybreak turning SSE, and S winds are totally offshore at Playalinda (32 degrees), which is the equivalent of NW winds at the Cape.
Tuesday looks to be 1 to 2 foot overhead in Satellite Beach with light SW winds.
KEEP THIS NOTE FOR COMPARING SURF SIZE OF SATELLITE BEACH TO THE CAPE ! :
The surf models from Surfline, SurfGuru, Surfer, Magicseaweed all reflect Satellite Beach. (no they don’t actually say that) And Never the Cape and really never Cocoa Beach. Why, because 97 % of the time, South Swell or North Swell or East Swell, Satellite Beach receives the best angle of the swell. So even for South Swells you’d think the Cape would reflect better, but my rule of thumb is take the face size of Satellite Beach and mulitply it by .60 and you get the face size at the Cape. Some may argue this. But I sit here 5 times a day looking at data a many sites, both swell data, wind data, moving storm models; then I get in the car, and look at Hightowers, Hangers, O’ Club/2nd light and sometimes one of the streets, the Pier, and then the Cape. Visual is the best data source that I know of. I also try to take pictures of Satellite Beach and then come North and get Cape pictures witin the hour (when I can do this work permitting), so we can all learn the differences. Sorry for the long wind, but since this is a blog, and a school of learning for me perpetually, I want to post this information also for the world to see 🙂
Have a great Sunday, if you want to hear some kind words about Grace, Peace and Forgiveness, then check here: My Church 🙂
Hopefully, we’ll have our massive offshore winds day on Monday!