The low pressure system has moved up it’s clock a bit and increased projected swell size. Looks like it’ll start hitting Wednesday by mid morn, and getting huge, looks like a 9 foot 8 second period swell by late afternoon. Though that size can fluctuate, sounds exciting, but only time will tell, but seeing that the Fetch of the swell has some decent size to it to generate a swell, it still looks like Thursday morning will be the session, 4 to 5 feet at 9 to 10 second period with winds back to 10 to 15 mph range offshore, going from NW to West to WNW according to the Weather Channel:
Friday morning looks like we could have some clean or maybe offshores too, in the waist high plus range.
Oh, and don’t forget about the massive swell rolling in as it stands right now, on Saturday afternoon, and climbs into the 9 to 10 foot range by like Monday. (High high onshore winds, anywhere from 20 to 40 mph though) But maybe we’ll get a few lulls from the wind to make it ridable for a few sessions.
That’s it for now Folks. Pray that Thursday is delivered to us.
This is the 3rd day now, that the models are showing a 5 ft. at 9 or 10 second period swell with offshore winds for Thursday morning. Probably waist to maybe chest high in Canaveral, and shoulder high to overhead down south in Satellite Beach at my favorite breaks. But if it’s chest high here, I’ll be at the end of the street, yeah!
The Bahamas at the Abaco break of Elbow Cay (Indicas and Rush Reef, point break 😉 I bet will have 8 to 10 foot waves breaking at the beach. Ouch!
See the moving swell chart model screenshot for what Thursday morning 9/30/10 looks like. If you want to see the animation that shows you the progression of the incoming swell, check it out on the link below (Don’t forget to use the browser back button if ya wanna come back here for more ) : http://magicseaweed.com/Florida-MSW-Surf-Charts/20/
Right now weather channel plugin on my Internet browser (used Internet Explorer, yeah I actually can’t stand Firefox except when testing new sites I am creating and developing), the plugin shows that the winds for Thursday morning are now down to 5 – 6 mph out of the NW, but remember that’s from daybreak till maybe 10 am-ish, then NNW to onshore, NW which is great for us at the Cape, and actually everywhere: http://www.weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/USFL0089?begHour=20&begDay=272
Note: We know how nature works, this swell can speed up, slow down, or worse dwindle down. But I’m going with better than 60% chance that we’ll have some nice glassy waves Thursday morning.
We’ll try to give an update tonight to see how the models are being user friendly 🙂
Full size images below if you want to click on them and see full screen.
Hurricane Danielle provided a few fun days, though we had to deal with some choppy conditions, that would be a thanks to Hurricane Earl sneaking up from behind keeping the onshore winds constant. These pics were taken again by, yep you guessed it, Central Florida photographer Mike Melito from Lakeland. Enjoy the pics and we’ll be uploading more from Hurricane Earl too!
For 2 days now, data hints at chest to head high surf for Thursday morning (9/30/10), with glassy conditions. The winds are looking pretty fierce offshore (over 15 mph) so wear your goggles or leave your contacts at home.
Wednesday evening late, maybe before dark it could turn offshore (no bets on it ;), and Friday morning could be clean and chest high conditions early. (early means dawn patrol for you oldtimers)
As conditions change we’ll try to update here. On down the road, we will get more in depth on our gambles (I mean surf predictions), but for now it’s the short version.