Archive for September, 2016


Will we have local wind, or secondary swell disturbance?  Or will Tropical Storm Karl bring us the goods without Lisa’s throwing a tantrum?

The map below, compliments of awesome Wunderground.com weather, shows us that Karl about 1500 miles offshore, almost hurricane status, and Lisa, another 1500 miles out from Karl, should not interfere, and may even be slightly strengthening the gift from Karl.

karl-n-lisa-wunderground-com-compliments-927-am-on-09-22-16The swell actually hit the 20 mile buoy last night around 10-11 PM (Wed night), along with the Fernandina Beach buoy and the Ft. Pierce Buoy all around the same time, which is actually rare.

Don’t expect any glass this afternoon, after this morning’s glass, but Friday morning, it could be blowing SW by 4 or 5 am, and turning NW by 10 or so, and onshore probably by noon, and maybe enough to prevent morning sickness and glass by daybreak.  The winds are expected to be in the 4-7 mph range which is awesome.  The tide is finally with us !!!!  Size at daybreak, should be waist to chest high, from the Pier south, and by 9 or 10, we may see some shoulder high waves, at least on the bigger sets.  Minus the wetsuit, surf could look like the video below on Friday.

Saturday, should be chest to head high, with maybe only a few hours mirror glass up North , NNW winds, and semi-glass in south CCB and maybe Satellite.  Still light, so it may not throw much texture down South even though it’s expected to be NNW (which is almost onshore in Satellite Beach).

Sunday could be more of the same as Saturday.  The period drops to 10 seconds from 11 or 12, which could make it better, worse, or the same, who knows ?  🙂

 

Advertisements

Update at 8:30 PM Thursday.  The swell finally hit 3.3 feet at 12 seconds at 120 buoy, and winds were NNE to N , unlike the 7 mph west winds that were at the 20 mile up until 1:30, so that may have held the swell back.

NOTE:  For Friday, The winds have switched to a NW to NNW direction for our offshore winds (they were going to be SW to West), so , only expect NW winds (which are still okay for Satellite, but if they go NNW, then 4rth St North is better, but anywhere North of Minuteman Cswy for NNW winds.  So down south may still be best if it’s NW, and up until 9 am.probably)

End 8:30 PM Update

Today, TS Julia who literally formed over our heads the last couple days (rare for 20-30 years) and TS Ian way out in North Atlantic, bring us some nice waist to maybe chest by 10 am or if slow to arrive, by noon in Satellite Beach with glass until maybe 1 pm.  The 20 mile buoy had 11 & 14 second reading back to back at 8-9 am this morning, which means, 2 hours from then or so it hits our beaches.  Thus the 11 or 12 Pm prediction to hit the beaches with power and some nice size 🙂

wunderground-com-ts-map-on-09-15-16-932amFriday should be chest to head high with offshore winds till maybe noon.

Saturday should be waist to chest and offshore down south (and maybe up North offshore till 8 or 9am or so if it is truly SW winds).  Offshore down south in Satellite till maybe 9 or 10 am.

Sunday maybe some waist high leftovers with more glass than Saturday.

 


Was the drive down to Spanish House worth it on Wednesday?  Maybe.  The swell was still iffy, but I heard Tuesday it was pretty excellent.

We made a treck down South and ended up at Satellite Beach.  Got a few.  A few in the water is better than a day in the office, right?

🙂

The video below earns it name damn well.  MIND-BLOWING DROP-INS, BARRELS, WIPE-OUTS…  and just plain phenomenal footage of the January 21st & 22nd JAWS swell of this year. (2016)

 

DANG jaws from ACL Digital Cinema on Vimeo.