How the Waves were today, Tropical Storm Emily update, Friday Fest for the Cape, plus Surf Report Thursday afternoon (at 1:30 Pm) and Surf Forecast for Cape Canaveral n Cocoa Beach (posted August 04, 2011)


Friday morning 7 AM swell size model from magicseaweed.com and Noah.
Friday morning 7 AM swell size model from magicseaweed.com and Noah.

Before I mention what today was like, an 8:00 PM update for Friday mornings call I have down below from earlier today. The 120 buoy is hanging around 4 foot at 11 seconds which is good, and the moving swell model is showing that it ought to hit 5 to 6 foot at the 120 tonight, but the winds are blowing SSW out there , at least down from 11 to now 5 knots SSW, but that could keep a lot of the swell back.  So it could drop even smaller on Friday than it was today but I still feel better than 50 % that we’ll have chest high waves down south Friday morning 🙂

The pier had solid waist high waves today, I surfed on Johnson which was knee-high maybe some bigger sets, mostly closeouts but it was worth getting wet.  With the winds being SW at the Cape, that actually is sideshore to occasionally slight offshore  winds for us, and definite offshore down south, so that’s why we had some bumpy texture here. When I went to the pier at 11 Am,  the winds had just turned onshore, it was waist-high and glassy so probably a foot bigger down south though I haven’t heard back yet on that.

Friday still looks to be a foot bigger or should I say stomach to chest high down south with a wind change to SSW winds instead of the earlier models that said SW.  The SSW winds look to only hold until 9 AM at best so get out early!  The actual swell from Emily is still rolling in straight thru until Saturday morning. Take a look at the first image which shows the Friday incoming swell model with the arrow pointing to a lighter blue than the 2nd picture which was for this morning, so the swell should be a little bigger and stronger for Friday morning but only for early morning.

Thursday morning 7 AM swell size model from magicseaweed.com and Noah.
Thursday morning 7 AM swell size model from magicseaweed.com and Noah.

Saturday the swell size peaks at around 3.5 feet at 9 seconds at around daybreak still looks to be chest high plus down south with onshore winds all day maybe some shoulder high sets, with light onshores in the morning (2 to 4 mph SSE, and increasing onshores in the afternoon, right now I can only read until 1 Pm which shows 6 mph east.

Sunday I believe will have chest high plus waves down south with I suspect NW winds, but that I will confirm Friday sometime early evening.   Sunday still looks to be the semi-epic day.   Only a North wind break for Sunday, meaning only a surf break North of Minuteman Causeway.  (From the Cape to Satellite we have a bay in the shape of a C with Minuteman being the bottom, so if you look at my Google Map chart, you will see why I say South Wind and North Wind breaks.)  Follow this link and scroll down just below the 4 small surf pictures and you will see the Names of 5 to 10 breaks and whether they are in the North or South wind break area.

Anyhow, have fun Friday thru Sunday.

Oh, don’t forget about the Cape Canaveral Friday Fest, to support children in school plus our local vendors, artists and beer, wine providers 🙂

oldwaverider

Tropical Storm Emily update plus Surf Report Wednesday night (at 9:30 Pm) and Surf Forecast for Cape Canaveral n Cocoa Beach (posted August 03, 2011)


Tropical Storm Emily has stalled as of 8 PM tonight (Wed) but still should throw some waves.  Image compliments of stormpulse.com
Tropical Storm Emily has stalled as of 8 PM tonight (Wed) but still should throw some waves. Image compliments of stormpulse.com

The mental roller coaster continues…………….Ya know, the independence of a Tropical Storm/Hurricane , it just kinda changes its mind when it wants,

Tropical Storm Emily has stalled as of 8 PM tonight, but it does still have 50 mph winds.  It’s border is skimming Haiti and the Dominican Republic.   So right now the models dropped from 6 to 7 feet at around 11 seconds to 3.5 at 9 seconds.  This I feel will jump back up again, a little, but if not, it’s still showing for Sunday, chest to shoulder-high wave potential by Patrick/Satellite and waist to chest here at the Cape with NW winds brisk but not too strong.

Thursday morning call; still iffy.  We may have a rideable swell and we might not, but as of 9:30 PM it hasn’t hit the 120 buoy, not above 2.6 at 9 secs, and we really want 3.5 to 4.0 feet min at the 120 to even hope for waist-high waves tomorrow.  It still looks like a 20 % chance of having waist-high plus before 10 Am, the winds should be offshore SW in the 5 to 8 mph range till mid-morning.  (What’s with this percent thing 😉

Friday I have more confidence of having some fun waist to chest high waves down south and waist here in the Cape.  Friday morning looks like SW winds again in the 4 to 8 range.

Saturday still looks like a stall and with light on shores in the Am and increasing on shores throughout the day up to 15 ish.  Size by evening, chest high plus.

Sunday, if the models hold as they are, we may see nothing.  But, if the storm moves again, then chest high plus with NW winds which means, your best shot is a break North of Minuteman Causeway to look for a North wind break.

Hopefully the model picks up, but whatever, we should have at least a couple days of fun waves 🙂

We’ll talk Thursday some time.

oldwaverider

Cape Canaveral surf report update, Thursday night (12/23/2010)


A Brevard County Christmas ground swell.
A Brevard County Christmas ground swell.

Friday we have a 4 to 5 foot 10-11 second period ground swell coming in. (Actually we will see some in the AM, but the full force in late afternoon).   At daybreak, The first part of the Nor’easter swell, probably North winds, at 10-15 mph turning NNE by 8 or 9 Am.  Size ought to be maybe thigh high at the Cape, with chest high plus down South. In the afternoon the winds should be strong onshore 15 plus mph NNE winds.  The winds may start to slow down by evening.  Saturday should be the glass.

Christmas morning, Saturday at daybreak,  should be glassy, thigh high waves I hope at the Cape, and chest to shoulder high waves in Satellite Beach.  We should have some SW winds 2 to 5 mph until maybe 10 am, increasing to 10 mph by noonish, turning toward the South.

The tough choice is when to paddle out.   Low tide is 4 Am, so daybreak would be mid-tide, the air temp should be 50-52 degrees (not to bad) , and WSW winds around 5 mph. The best tide will be for a noon paddle out (high tide at 10:30, high going low which is best), but by noon the winds could already be out of the South.  But maybe they’ll hang in there from the SSW.

Merry Christmas and have a great Christmas surf session!

oldwaverider