We have a slight chance 50/50, that we’ll have a waist high wind swell with a chance of offshore winds Wednesday morning. Waist high down South toward the Base. It’s a NE swell so it’s hard to say if the Cape will even get thigh high waves. The swell rolls in Tuesday around noon and later thru the day with NE winds in the 10 to 15 mph range.
So Wednesday morning, it’s looking to be South winds, but they are less than 10 mph and with the heat coming off land, even with the rain cool down, it will probably blow some offshore winds in the early Am Wed.
The photo to the left was taken behind a resort just South of Lori Wilson Park, back in August, 2010 I believe.
I’ll show you another pic in a few days, plus some fat looking fish for eating caught.
High tide is 5:47 Am Wednesday morning, 9 or 10 would be best tide time, but the winds may not be offshore than.
Anyhow, it’s a chance to get wet, and in my case, burn 1000 cals. during the session, haha.
Update for Tuesday dawn patrol. The size down south, after looking at the swell models this morning , look like we may not see head high, but more in the chest high plus range. Waist high for the Cape.
For those of you that were envisioning some possible overhead sets, I figured I ought to throw in this disclaimer 😦
But other than that, chest high for Tuesday is great, the winds now look to be straight West at daybreak, and may even hold until noon, or pretty close at around 3 to 5 mph. The tide will be low going high, low tide around 4:20 AM Tuesday.
Get it while it’s glassy!
Today should be some big chop, winds will be a little more tame, supposed to be in the 10 to 15 mph range onshore.
Tonight or Tuesday, I’ll give ya an update on what to expect for Wednesday morning.
It’s now showing the 48 hour window at weather channel on winds, and Tuesday at daybreak, it looks to be 2 to 4 mph SW winds making any of the South wind breaks the best bet. (meaning, any break at least at least a 1/2 mile South of Minuteman Cswy). Should be head high and glassy down south until around 10 Am as it looks right now for CCB, and the Cape is looking pretty blocked based on the swell angle, but I’m gonna take a look at Johnson Ave. to see what size we have.
Okay, I just checked it at 7:30 at Johnson, and it’s waist high, so Tuesday morn, it should be waist with some chest high sets, depending on how tall ya are 😉
Monday will be overhead chop down south, and chest to maybe head high chop here at the Cape.
It was waist high plus at Lori Wilson around 2 PM and fairly clean conditions surprisingly with the high winds.
It hit 8.5 feet at 8 seconds at the 120 around 5 PM , up from 3 feet at 4 secs around 6 AM this morning.
I don’t believe it will become quite a ground swell, but it will be close. At least we should get some fairly long peaks. Shouldn’t be much of a problem with closeouts.
Enjoy Tuesday, and also Wednesday morning should be waist high and glassy down South in the morning.
My addiction of big wave footage continues…Another XXL contender video, of Shane Dorian, a very familiar participant in the Billabong XXL awards of recent years. This was a massive perhaps 45 to 50 foot paddle in wave at Peahi on 3/15/11. He almost made it out of the barrell 🙂
SURF REPORT TIME: Okay, now to local matters; It looks like we have a wind swell coming in starting sometime Sunday evening, with the most size on Monday (overhead chop) , but strong onshore winds. Tuesday morning looks to be head high and glassy (as the wind forecasts stand right now) for a session down south (2nd light, Perkins, RC’s, etc.) and waist high plus at the Cape. The winds could go offshore until late morning Tuesday, and as the size drops some overnight a foot or two, Wednesday appears to be a day with offshore winds thru lunchtime.
As Monday approaches, we will track the 48 hour window of the weather channel to give more updates on the potential offshore winds.
It doesn’t look to be a ground swell, but it may very well be some decent size and power.
Sunday morning looks great! 3.5 feet at 11 seconds. Shouldn’t be to bad on closeouts. It’s a nice groundswell, as we could see with the long lines today that held up fairly nicely when it was offshore and light onshore before noon today. (Saturday)
Should be waist high at the Cape and Chest high at 2nd light and beyond. Winds, calm to light offshore out of the West to NW until probably 10 Am, then switch to NNE.
Get out while it’s offshore! Though the winds when they turn onshore stay under 6 until noon, and then stay under 10 the rest of the day. Water temp is 65, but air temp 50 at day break, but turns sunny fast.
Okay, our incoming swell from the last 2 days I believe is about to deliver the ground swell portion by noon on Thursday. That’s when the moving period chart catches up with around 9 or 10 seconds, which hits the beaches around 11 or 12. Winds should turn SSW by late morning and SW by 12 or 1 Pm in the 15 to 20 mph range. Swell size should be around chest to shoulder high down south by 2nd light, Hightowers, etc., and hopefully waist high here at the Cape. Could be bigger sets, but it depends what we see overnight coming thru the 120 buoy. We did have some waves hit the 120 at 11 seconds but not real consistently, so its hard to say what the power will be. But I’m optimistic it will be a lot of fun, and a little challenging to catch waves.
Friday morning the swell weakens at the 120, but we may still see some waist high sets or bigger down south, with NW winds in the 10 to 12 mph range.
Saturday morning a new long period swell hits as the Friday swell dissipates, so there ought to be something ridable as they pass the baton to each other.
We’ll cover more as the Saturday swell gets closer.
Looks like the winds do turn offshore late Sunday afternoon. SSW by around 1 PM, but turn SW at 10 -12 mph by 3 PM. It should be head high down South (2nd light, RC’s etc.), and waist high to maybe chest at the Cape. Low tide is around 2 PM, but don’t worry about it, just Get it while we have it!!
Monday morning, it looks like NNW till 9 AM, in the 10 mph plus range, so the North wind breaks (North of Minuteman Cswy) will work best for that.