Incoming wind swell Wednesday morning, with size peaking by dark. The full force of the swell should peak Wednesday night to Thursday mid-morning.
Friday the swell starts fading in size, but it should remain with us thru Saturday night, maybe some leftovers Sunday.
What to expect in surf size at the beach; Wednesdayat the Cape, by afternoon, since this is a direct east windswell, maybe chest high with some plus sets, with 12-15 mph ESE winds at daybreak increasing to 20 mph thru the day. Expect overhead surf in Satellite Beach. It is not a real strong swell, not a ground swell, but the fetch is fairly wide so it should have some form to it and some power.
Thursday, about the same as Wednesday afternoon, chest high at the Cape and overhead down South. Winds may drop to 15 mph by Thursday afternoon.
Friday, the size drops, a foot, the wind drops probably to under 15.
Saturday could have some slight offshores, we’ll just have to see by Friday morning to get a better call.
We’ll be dropping some more pics from that great day here at Johnson Avenue.
How the Waves were Tuesday n Wednesday…………plus our Continued swell report below;
SCROLL BELOW THE SLIDESHOW IF YOU WANT TO SEE THE FULL SIZE IMAGES, CLICK ONCE TO OPEN, AND IF YOUR MOUSE SHOWS A + (plus symbol), click again, I have them at 1800 pixels wide (20 inch wide photos on a PC), since they are zoomed out to much.
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Dr. John, taking advantage of a nice line, and no intruders 🙂 on a classic Johnson Avenue day. Image 1 of 6 in sequence.
Tuesday, I did a late 3:30 PM session in Satellite Beach, and even with 12 to maybe 15 mph onshore winds, there were some very fun lines/peaks coming in. The waves were 3 to 4 foot backs, so an occasional head high face did roll thru. It was past mid-tide high going low, and only 3 of us out, sunny and a great session.
Pulling it around for that nice trim down the face, Image 2 of 6 sequence. Photos by Oldwaverider
Today, had some nice waist high plus lines at the pier, but I only enjoyed it thru the cams 😉
Thursday we still have some punch left with our 9 to 10 second period 4.5 foot swell all of the day.
Image 3 of 6, Dr. John. Johnson Ave on March 10 2012
We should have more waist high to rib waves at the Cape or the Pier, and a little bigger South.Winds, back down even more, to the 6 to 8 mph range, East, and start climbing up toward 9 to 12 mph, after 9 or 10 AM. (can we try to put a few more numbers into one paragraph? 😉
Image 4 of 6 sequence. I took the photos from around 8:30 until 10 or so.
Friday, (or actually late Thursday night, the swell we have starts pulling away slowly), and Friday thru Sunday, a very mild Easterly swell will push toward us, to keep us with something rideable for the next 4 or 5
Image 5 of 6.
days, but do to the weaker swell, the right time of tides will be a lot more important than the strong swell we have thru Thursday (tommorrow). It still should be thigh high here at the Cape and waist high down South in Satellite Beach.Winds Friday, 6 to 8 mph ENE climbing toward 10 to 12 mph East by late afternoon.
I still don’t see any offshore days in the picture, so just like this week, I didn’t jump on the Surf Report binge too hard knowing that everyone new we’d have waves, but no “epic” day in sight if you will.
The were definitely some 60 to an occassional 100 yard rides available. Image 6 of 6, Dr. John enjoying a great session.
The photos here are on a nice wave and ride of Dr. John, from our awesome chest high day Saturday, March 10th, when the whole neighborhood was out surfing, at some time or another.
SCROLL BELOW THE SLIDESHOW IF YOU WANT TO SEE THE FULL SIZE IMAGES, CLICK ONCE TO OPEN, AND IF YOUR MOUSE SHOWS A + (plus symbol), click again, I have them at 1800 pixels wide, since they are zoomed out to much.
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An early drop-in by Lacey on one of the waves of the day 🙂 Image 1 of 10 shot sequence.
Lacey Gallery 1st ten photos. Today was a beautiful day at J-Ave! The waves were Chest high, some smaller, some bigger, with unexpected offshore winds past 8 AM, and unexpected sunshine. The next swell moving in was supposed to throw 20 mph NE winds by 8 or 9 AM, but our Awesome Creator (God 🙂 gave us an extended window of the whole neighborhood out in the water at some time or another. And our typical Boardwalk Commentators put in a little overtime, just to make sure everything went well, and so that all of those participants that shredded at least one wave, were commended at least once 🙂
Image 2 of 10 sequence. Lacey, dropping in to a nice big right, Sun was bright!
The first sequence is of Lacey (if misspelled i change it in the title later:) ), which which was done in 2 part, because as she dropped into one of the waves of the day, I was shooting right into the Sun, the camera had to time-out for 2 seconds after 6 shots, and then I
Beautiful bottom turn.........Image 3 of 10 shots. Johnson Ave., March 10 around 9:30 AM.
managed to pull 3 or 4 more shots on the same ride, but out of direct sun, and as she was getting closer to shore. It ended up being like 10 shots from the same wave, and if you look at the longboard on the sand, and how it re-positioned with the guy next to it, the span of her ride had to be close to 100 yards give or take. Just an awesome ride by Lacey, her style of takeoff, form and grace on that one!
Image 4 of 10 sequence. Possibly a hundred yard perfect wall. Photos by Oldwaverider
The next sequence is of Chad, on another of the bombs of the day, and trying to maintain a stance of modesty from his growing talent, he kept his re-entries in this chest to head high wave slightly conservative, so as not to frustrate others who are still learning to Surf 🙂
Lacey cruising along on one of those rare days of the year. The whole neighborhood was out. Image 5 of 10 sequence.
Sunday Surf; expect big overhead chop with 15 to 25 mph winds from the East. Probably head high plus at the Cape and 2 to 3 foot overhead down South in Satellite Beach.
I hope y’all enjoy the photos, and I apologize that I had to have the zoom out so much, but I literally could not see anything thru the viewfinder because the sun was so bright, so the best way to even get 4 or 5 pics in a sequence, is to have the zoom way out so you don’t have to move the camera too much.
Image 6 of 10 in sequence. The Sea Oats and the Sun competing for the Lens 🙂This is the same long ride by Lacey. Finally out of the direct sun, as she approaches shore. Image 7 of 10 in the ride.Bringing one of the "Waves of the Day" to a close, well almost to a close. Image 8 of 10 sequence.Image 9 of 10 on a perfect Johnson Avenue day, and ride by Lacey. Photos by OldwaveriderHer board hit a big shark.........just kidding. Image 10 of 10 sequence of LaceyChad catching a late drop in on one of the "Bombs" of the day. Image 1 of 7 sequence. Photo by OldwaveriderChad, Seeing that hollow section up ahead 🙂 Image 2 of 7 sequence. Johnson Avenue, March 10 2012K-ruisin, Image 3 of 7 sequence. Chad.Little head dip? Image 4 of 7 sequence. Johnson AvenueRail grabbin time to hold that steep high part of the wave. Image 5 of 7 sequence.and he keeps goin and goin 🙂 Image 6 of 7 shots. Photos by Oldwaveriderwhen you get a nice wave like that, who cares if it finally closes out.....Image 7 of 7
Don’t forget about Daylight Savings Time. (spring forward-fall back 😉
Saturday Morning Surf until 8 Am, maybe 9 AM, then it goes to pure onshore chop slop…………..Rib to chest high at the Cape. Semi-Glass with 8 to 12 mph North winds until 8 AM. Satellite Beach could have solid head high waves with a chance of one hour more of semi-glass waves until 9 AM, with 9 to 13 mph N and maybe NNW winds. But by 9 Am, everywhere it should start getting blown out big time with 15 to 20 mph NNE winds.
40% chance of showers and total cloudy, so get in the water by 6:30 if you want 1 and 1/2 hour of good surf.
Sunday surf; total blown out big chop, 20 mph onshore winds. Later in the week we’ll let ya know when the clean days are.
Either way, it’s kind of fun to think that this swell could wait another hour to hit us, but not likely 🙂
Today was awesome at Johnson Ave.Solid chest high , with very clean shoulders, and if you waited, there were many 80 to 100 yard rides for long boards anyhow.
Today was really really fun!…………………Friday, better, Saturday , maybe a touch of glass but only North and only at daybreak till 8 or 9 Am ? More in a sec………….
Dungeons - n - Sunset, South Africa, on a 15 foot swell (but a wave of the day here, maybe 18), March 1 2012. From Magicseaweed.com Jeremy Johnson and Matt Bromley on a bomb.
The obsession for big wave watching has me thanking Magicseaweed.com for the great slideshow from a solid 15 foot swell that hit Dungeons & Sunset Beach, South Africa on March 1st 2012. Yeah, we had 15 foot (faces of rogue sets 😦 let the skeptics who weren’t there for 4 hours argue that , <grin> ) with Hurricane or TS Hannah 3 years ago at the Pier and Satellite Beach. But as Rich (one of our consistent, haven’t seen in a while 50 year old surfers also called it ) would attest to that morning, the faces were 10 to 12 at Lincoln and Johnson and 15 foot faces on the “rogue” sets if you will at the pier. But , they probably had 25 to 30 foot faces in Dungeons for their 15 foot Hawaiian defined size waves 🙂
I thought this fact was amazing about swells; Apparently one percent of waves in a swell can be up to twice the average. On a big day these are the rouge sets which keep you on your toes. From the same big day at Dungeons, South Africa. This was a rogue wave. See the article link to Magicseaweed.com published March 8, 2012
Forgive me, but I had to snag these two pick from the article today at Magicseaweed.com of Jeremy Johnson and Matt Bromley on this 25 foot plus face bomb.
Our Surf; The surf today at Johnson, Chad and I did an hour, got real lucky on the paddle out, but we had some solid rib to chest high waves, and some head high face drops with a rogue set or two. For 15 mph onshore winds, you’d never expect it to have been that clean a form. We were out from like 12 to 1, so we were past mid tide of high going low. It was sucking out in some shallow water, so lots of wall to work, steep drops, really fun waves.
Friday, expect chest high plus surf for the Cape (plus bigger sets), and head high surf down south with some 2 to 3 foot overhead sets (on the dropin) for sure in Satellite Beach.Winds will be 7 to 10 mph SE until 10 or 11 Am I believe, so it should be really clean, the ground swell part rolls in before daybreak, 10 second period, so power, form, with my guess minimal closeouts will be the game for the day.
Saturday, we are getting burned, kinda.Unless you get out at daybreak and surf till 8 AM. We were going to have offshore winds from the Cape to Satellite until 9 or 10, but………….we have a new swell coming from NE (but the charts say East, which I don’t know why they say that cause it is coming from NE on every Atlantic East Coast storm graph I look at, but whatever 😉 ), so the new storm is pushing the offshores in to never never land, but!!!!!!!!!!!! We will have N winds at starting around 2 or 3 Am Friday night Saturday morning, until 7 or 8 AM tops! The wind will be 4 to 6 mph, so don’t party late Friday night and get it from the Cape to 4rth street North and you’ll have slight offshore winds. See my new best break for North winds chart here to see how offshore the winds are for North winds, depending on the break. Johnson Avenue is 14 degrees offshore approx. , Lori Wilson and 4rth street North about 4 degrees offshore. The Port is even more offshore. Satellite Beach shows actual NW to NNW at 8 mph until 8 or 9 AM because the swell will take 1 hour or so long to hit there, so if you want 2 to 3 foot overhead drops, and semi-glassy, then head South.But by 10 or noon, the winds go to 15 to 20 mph bringing in the new swell for a big choppy blown out Sunday thru a number of days.
That’s it. Once I see the calm , or light wind day for the new swell, we’ll pass it on.
Have a great, big swell Friday and Saturday morning.
Are their big choppy waves coming? Will there be waves for the next week?
Yep. Though I wouldn’t expect anything with good rideable lines to the Cape until Wednesday morning. Meaning lines with shoulders. The period is so small Tuesday until late in the day, and then Wednesday we should have some head high plus chop at the Cape, and overhead stuff down South.
Wednesday thru Friday the size should be pretty close to the same, however the strength/power of the waves increase quite a bit on late Thursday thru Saturday. Expect head high stuff at the Cape w bigger sets, and 2 to 3 feet overhead sets in Satellite Beach.Winds will be strong East thru Monday my guess at least, mostly in the 15 to 20 plus mph range..
The winds will give us some reprieve, at certain tides. We’ll just have to wait and see.
Last Wednesday (Feb. 22nd) , a week ago on that semi-glassy day we had at the Cape, Chad did his 2nd surf session for the day down at Hangers with myself. We had some awesome clean and glassy lines coming in, with an occasional overhead set coming thru. As I mentioned from that day, if you were patient, there were a number of 100 plus yard rides, mostly lefts, but Chad set the record for the day with a 150 plus yard ride. (it was a 150 yard paddle out, and he rode it to shore)
The photos or some of the photos I took that day after we got out of the water are on a Post I did here. But………
it is amazing, the difference, if I had thought to check my other favorite break, Hightowers/RC’s, then we would have seen these waves on this amazing video of the footage that day, along with some footage of the Inlet , but mostly Satellite Beach. Check it Out! from the folks at http://pureoceantv.com/
We do have a massive swell arriving probably Tuesday, so we’ll keep ya posted when that gets closer. We may have a little bump for Saturday coming in, but I’m not gonna hold my breath, just like the way today wasn’t very likely for a great swell.
Whatever, we’ve had 2 1/2 years of consistent , awesome waves for Florida.
Man, this is a tough one. I may screw this call up, but here’s the way I see it and step out on a limb 🙂
The swell to our east that we have had, appears to have a “part 2”, haha. This part two, which by the huge Atlantic sea chart shows that there is enough fetch, and a 9 to 11 second period strength of the swell that is to roll in tonight sometime after dark. It indicates a 3 to 3.5 foot swell at 9 seconds to our beaches and there has been no change in the twice daily typical Ocean data updates that says this will not happen. So,
At daybreak to noon, it still looks like we should have thigh high waves, and this swell appears to be doing better at low tide than mid-tide with high going low. When I looked down South in Satellite Beach today, 2 hours after high tide, yeah the winds were stiff, 12 to 15 onshore, but there were thigh high sets coming in at my two favorite limestone/coquina breaks 🙂
Thursday, So my reduced call is knee high at the Cape with some thigh high bigger sets and glassy with SSW winds to some SW in the 7 to 10 mph range until maybe 11 Am. Satellite Beach, thigh to waist high, with 7 to 9 mph SW winds until 10 or 11 then turning SSW to South.
Not to be purposely negative ha, but the winds turn offshore by midnight tonight and in the 10 mph SSW range, so I don’t think it will blow it flat, but I’ll give it a 40 % chance of really fun waves Thursday, and 60% not.
I won’t talk about Friday until I see Thursday. Friday is showing increased swell strength and the push from a NE swell a little and greater push from this East swell, but we’ll just have to see the buoy at the 120 tonight and then Thursday night.
SURF CALL REVISION FOR THURSDAY GLASS, along with Wednesday morning, Friday and maybe Saturday…
Thursday first; we have to drop on the wave size from the call I made Monday, but not the glass. Thigh high is my call for the Cape with bigger sets of course. Rib high with maybe some rare chest high clean up sets down South in Satellite Beach.Winds for the Cape look to be the same for Satellite Beach Thursday, with 6 to 8 mph SW, turningSSW to S before noon. Yeah, this can change, but we’re now in our 48 hour window so I’m comfortable with a 75 to 80% accuracy on wind direction. Keep in mind, both Thursday and Friday should have more punch to the wave than on Wednesday.
Wednesday, same size, as Thursday, but with less power, and SSE windsin the 8 to 10 mph range until 9 AM, and then kicking it up over 12. If you can make Playalinda, that is the place to be for Wednesday and especially Thursday.
Friday, similar size as Thursday, same power, but winds are showing SSW to maybe SW, so if you can go South of 4rth or 8th Street South, you’ll have offshore winds. Friday, the Capeis showing SSW which is sideshore winds based on the angle of our coastline up here. If it does go SW winds at the Cape, then we’ll be good for glass also.
I KNOW WHEN I TALK WINDS, AND HOW SSW WINDS ARE SIDESHORE FOR US AND OFFSHORE FOR SATELLITE BEACH;I suspect that y’all think I’m on CRACK 🙂 You guys would do yourself a favor by taking a look at Google Maps, and check out how the coastline curves. Why?
Because, when I can have perfect glass and 100 yard long walls, verses, just clean sections that close out in 30 to 50 yards, I get frustrated because I was just to lazy to take an 18 minute drive.
I won’t get all Spritual on ya here, but I will say, life is too short to take mediocre when God gives ya perfection if you’re willing to accept his gift and just drive South and enjoy his Fillet Mignon instead of just a tough Sirloin. Just my short plug for how great it is that we have a diverse coastline in Brevard County. I wouldn’t ever leave the Cape to live, but I will drive for 60% better surf 80% of the time.
I ADDED A PAGE TO THIS SITE CALLED “Wave Height and Wind” to our website, so you can see the best surf breaks to go to for the wind direction, and it also has the Wave Height to Body Scale chart, along with the Buoy links and our near shore water temperature. See the page here or just click on the link at the very top of this page.
Either way, enjoy, and we’ll update Wednesday night to confirm Thursday winds.
Surf Forecast: Surf all Week? Yesx No __ More on that in a minute down below…:)
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The day provided quite a few teaser barrels, beautiful shape, but short-lived, Sunny takin full advantage. Image 1 of 3 sequence.
The gallery of shots here are from Wednesday, February 22nd from that really nice ENE 5 foot 11 second ground swell. We had thigh to chest high waves here at the Cape, of course only those willing to wait on the outside to catch the set waves reaped the rewards on that. Sunny, was having a great time working the inside coverage drinking in his 100 waves per session pathology 🙂
The fast exit 🙂 Image 2 of 3 in sequence. Photos by Oldwaverider. Feb. 22 2012
As far as the swell this week, is this a total wind swell, ground swell or combo? Well, it kinda merges into an almost ground swell by Wednesday, so I guess combo would be the almost correct word.
Sunny, disappears...image 3 of 3 in sequence.
Tuesday, we have waist to rib high for the Cape and chest high down South. Winds ought to be light 5 to 8 mph NNE until 9 Am, and then kick up a few more notches thru the day but not too much. So I think it will be pretty fun at Johnson here with an occasional teaser of almost offshore winds but not quite.
This shoulder was a little more user friendly, giving Sunny the chance to throw spray a couple times 🙂 Image 1 of 5 in sequence.
Wednesday, the swell kicks up in strength with the period of the swell coming in at 9 seconds, so the lines ought to be better, and the winds may be less than 5 mph onshore, so it ought to be real clean and fun everywhere.
Sunny, image 2 of 5 sequence.
Thursdaylooks to be the Primo day, waist to rib high at the Cape and Chest to Shoulder high in Satellite Beach. Winds have been showing offshore for 2 or 3 days straight now based on the models, mostly SW in the morning, but by Tuesday and Wednesday night we’ll have our solid guess on the winds for Thursday.
He throws a little spray to add color between the Sea Oats...image 3 of 5 in sequence. Johnson Ave.
Friday, could also be like Thursday with comparable size and power and offshore winds.
Saturday, maybe we’ll have some leftovers too.
Sunny like the battery, still goin...image 4 of 5 in sequence.He dun milked it for all its worth, image 5 of 5
Looks like a fun week, nothing massive, but definitely some waist to chest high waves and a few glassy mornings during the week.
Johnson Avenue Surfers 