Yep, 3 days now, the models show Thursday with a Ground/background swell coming with rib to chest high waves and glassy.
The video below is actually a foot or two smaller on the face, than what I expect tomorrow, but it was nice and glassy. The surfer is my buddy Mike Melito.
The Cape will be blocked out somewhat from this swell. The Pier should be waist high, and getting bigger, the further south you go.
As it stands, it’s a NE swell, with SW winds in the 8-12 mph range, picking up as the morning progresses. High tide is around 8 am, which is not optimal, but pick your spot, and it should be fun. Water temp is down to around 73 from 76 last week, so skin it or vest it.
A 9:10 PM update from the post I made earlier today. The 120 buoy hit 5.6 feet at 10 seconds at 2 pm, and now at 8 pm reading, it was 5.6 feet at 13 seconds. The 20 mile buoy was 3 feet at 8 seconds at 6 pm, and now is 3.6 feet at 13 seconds, and the near shore buoy hit 2 feet at 13 seconds around 7 pm. So it looks like the swell moved in a lot quicker , like 7 hours quicker. Hope the NW winds are still going to be with us, but at least the swell is here 😉 End 9:10 PM update.
If you get out at 10 or 11, there may be some size, but it may be choppy or heavy N winds. If you get out at daybreak, it may only be waist high , but glassy 🙂 Why?
Sunday, it should be waist to rib early, and maybe chest high while it’s still semi-glassy, then hard North winds.There is a short window, where the winds are NW in the 6-10 mph range, from daybreak till maybe 8 or 9. Then they go NNW around 9 or 10 in the 10-15 mph range. And North by as early as 11 am. High tide is at 5:20, Air Temp is 59 at daybreak, but warms up to 65 by 9. Water temp should be 67-68 degrees, so you can vest it or spring it, or just full suit it 🙂
The video below is two short clips of a couple nice little lefts at Hightowers, late in the afternoon on February 8th, 2016.
Can we expect some fun glassy surf tomorrow, on Tuesday?
Tuesday morning,We should have some chest high glassy wind swell out there, that ought make the chilly water worthwhile 🙂 Winds should be offshore till at least early afternoon, and at daybreak, SW winds, brisk, in the 10-12 mph range, low tide around 8:30 am.
Check out the video clip from last Monday, a nice 14 second rib to chest high left (excuse, I couldn’t. Every 20 minutes, a head high set would come through which actually had more juice and held up better, but only the longboarders were taking advantage of them. Why? The shortboarders would have fallen asleep waiting 🙂
Check out the video below of one of the beautiful waves in Satellite Beach:
granted, the video wasn’t from today, but it was a fantastic waist to rib high day with really long lefts, oh it was fun! Wished I could have surfed more than an hour 🙂
We have huge 6-11 foot waves come for the next week, and maybe , just maybe we will have a day of glass …
Tuesday , Tropical Storm Kate took a few hours after daybreak to get nice and perhaps awesome. For those who were patient, here’s a surfing video I shot of friends and others:
Lots of Waves coming! Big chop, but the ground swell in a week will provide some glass 🙂
Surf video of TS/Hurricane Ida at the Cocoa Beach Pier, with Dennis of Core Surf and a couple others. Beautiful leftovers of Ida 🙂
Nice little wind swell moving in for Sunday morning, with perhaps waist to chest high clean, and maybe, just maybe glassy for an hour or so near daybreak Sunday morning. Satellite Beach is your best bet to get the size. If it blows offshore, probably from daybreak , for an hour , then light SE to East winds in the 3-5 mph range, building in speed as the morning grows older 🙂 (hopefully it won’t be a scattered thundershower to throw the winds whacko)
We may have a chest high plus and glassy day between Monday and Wednesday, so watch the wind charts, or check back here.
Sunday morning should be the day!Saturday was a dissapointment, except maybe for folks at the pier. But there was still some 50 yard rides for all, in other North breaks. The problem was caused by a secondary swell, that was aiming North to South from 3 am Saturday till maybe 3 Pm , a swell that was 3.5 feet at @ 6 seconds. So that was putting the bump in the middle of the swell in the morning , more noticeable down south, but took the juice out of much of the swell even up North.
Here’s a video compilation of Big Wednesday of Ida,with a nice soundtrack by Guerilla Jazz, called “One Day We’ll Be gone”, they are from Maui, Hi.
Sunday , the Hurricane Joaquin has dropped a little in size models, and now it also looks like the “size” arrives at it’s Peak, by around Noon to maybe 2:30 Pm or so. We have a secondary swell, but a very minimal one pointing south again, but I don’t think it will cause much issue, not like today anyhow. We do have West winds at the 120 buoy, so that could hold back some of the swell. I think we can look for Shoulder high plus at the Pier, with some bigger sets, and Satellite Beach should see some 10 foot rogue sets, with a lot of 6-9 foot sets.The winds shoudl be WNW at daybreck around 8 to 10 mph, switching to West down to around 6 to 8 mph.
Monday and Tuesday look big and fun also. Enjoy, and watch out for the bait fish predators!
Is Tuesday morning going to be the best offshore time, or is late afternoon, which is also low tide? The swell is holding it’s own at the 120 buoy as of 7 PM. The swell climbed back up to 8.5 feet @ 11 seconds. Probably either or. It was big and calm , turning 4 mph onshore this morning with up to 2 foot overhead sets in Satellite Beach.
Below, is another video sample of what we could see on Tuesday, and Wednesday morning.I shot these videos from Hurricane Gonzalo last year in early October, within 2 weeks of Tuesday and Wednesday.
Tuesday AM, the winds show mostly light SSW which is sideshore in N CCB and the Cape, and if light, then it can be a nice offshore wind for Satellite Beach. Weather.com shows 2-5 mph SSW up until 10 AM and then increasing to maybe 8 or 10. But by 1 PM, it looks to be blowing SW and with a Northeast swell, this is generally the best conditions for Satellite Beach. Well, except straight west or NW, depending on the swell. The point is, will it be clean and perfect in the AM, or mirror glass and perfect in the afternoon? Either way, we should see waist to chest high in the Cape, chest to shoulder high plus at the Pier with perhaps a few overhead sets. And 2 to 3 foot overhead sets in Satellite Beach throughout the day.
Wednesday still looks epic all day. It still looks to be about the same as Tuesday and perhaps better, unless we see the swell comes in early and peaks on Tuesday. For now, the models show to be increasing for Wednesday morning to5 feet @ 11 seconds. So a swell that size has the ability to throw double overhead waves. 2 to 3 foot overhead for sure.
Thursday and Fridaystill look incredible with at least chest high and glassy both mornings. Gotta love that upper level windshear.
Today was none other than epic in Satellite Beach! 8 foot to double overhead faces, I have lots of Video footage. Some Awesome talent out there today 🙂
Surf update, below video! It was amazing the difference today between the Pier which was rib high this morning at 6:45, and in Satellite Beach it was 10 foot plus faces at 7:15, turning double overhead by 9 or 10 AM
Video below of a guy Paulthat I met on a nice 8-9 foot face or so, with a nice Coverup, and working the wall!
A double Overhead ride below, same day, same time:
Friday, should be chest high plus at the Cape or Pier, and probably 1 to 2 foot overhead plus in Satellite Beach.The winds are looking NNW in the 8 to 15 mph range, so surfing North of 4rth street North is your best bet. NNW is onshore in Satellite Beach. Still, should be fun waves!
Saturdayshould be chest to shoulder high, North going South respectivelywith more direct offshore winds 🙂
I will be producing a Video from the 70 video clips I shot today of the Awesome talent at Hightowers.
We have a quick powerful ground swell coming in for Sunday morning/day, and for two days running, the models show south winds, which is slight offshore for South CCB to the Inlet.
Sunday morning it could be chest to shoulder high plus and clean/semi-glass conditions. Low tide around 6:30 AM
Get excited! That’s a lot more than the knee high stuff we’ve had since the big NE’ster 🙂
If you haven’t seen the 2nd Hurricane Gonzalo video (1st one below) or the no Tripod, quick 3 clips of the big glassy day in Satellite Beach of the Big Northeast 7 day swell (2nd video), check them out!
Johnson Avenue Surfers 