Well, is Sunday morning looking like big Glass? Yes, I believe so;
Same size, expect a little smaller up North here, down South in Satellite, but not as glassy. This was actually a Hurricane Katia photo from Sept 2011, by Oldwaverider
Sunday morning, should provide chest to shoulder high glass up to the pier, and overhead in Satellite Beach, kinda in between in south cocoa beach.Winds Sunday at daybreak, are looking NNW at 7 to 10 mph, which could be almost glass at the Cape here. Satellite Beach may get a bit of NW winds, moderate chance, if so, expects so really fun head high surf, plus…
Monday morning, should be wait high plus and glassy in the Cape, and Rib in Cocoa Beach, and Chest high and glassy in Satellite Beach.
Saturday Surf looking Rib to Chest high, winds looking NE to ENE but very light, in the 5 to 8 mph range, so the Pier looks best, especially since this is a windswell, with no chance of ground swell. Could be a lot of fun folks!
My buddy Mike in Satellite Beach, from September 2013:
Sunday this swell fades during the night Saturday/Sunday, as a new NE windswell rolls in. We would have had nice offshore winds Saturday, but this new swell kinda disrupted the prevailing winds pattern, but heh, at least we will have 3 or 4 more days of waves, choppy, but still waves and some fun to be had. By late Sunday, there should be more huge wind chop served up for us 🙂
Will there be anything rideable from this big, steep angle NE swell late today, tomorrow, will there be a glassy day? … see below ;
Video clip below is from November 7th, this year at the Cocoa Beach Pier. (video by http://www.walkonwaterproductions.biz ) Marcus enjoying a nice clean right:
Today, if you don’t mind a workout, at 3 PM, go to Lori Wilson or 4rth Street North, and you could still have North winds at 30 plus mph with well overhead faces, with a few semi-clean faces. You could do the same at the Pier, but the size won’t be near the same. The angle of this swell is so steep, meaning like it is coming from a 45 degree angle, and since the ocean straight out, here at the Cape is 90 Degrees, it isn’t too hard to figure out, that our Jetty and the Cape itself, sticks out way way way, further then like New Smyrna/Ponce, so 60% or more of the swell will be blocked out unless you drive at least 2 or 3 miles South.
Below, Ride of the Year entry for Billabong XXL Awards for 2014, Maya Gabeira, first time a Woman, and she is always deserving 🙂
Thursday, the winds should be cut in half, so then, the normal animals that enjoy the Pier for a User Friendly chop paddle out with 1 to 2 foot overhead faces should be there to great you in the morning. Satellite Beach, if u want some 3 foot over head drops on the sets, and a much longer paddle out 🙂
I don’t see anything showing a glassy day, except a weak model for Tuesday. Since this is really a wind swell, our window for glass, will most likely be 3 or 4 hours, and could be morning or in the dark, but I don’t see that day being big. Most likely a waist to chest high day at best, but we’ll keep ya posted 🙂
Can we expect rideable surf and glass for Tuesday morning early? I think so, thigh high at best, with NW winds in the 3 to 8 mph range, switching NNW mid-morning, until maybe Noon.
The swell is fading as you know, but there may be some occasional waist high sets in Satellite Beach, thigh to possible waist. NW winds hold well for Satellite Beach but it will be closer to low tide, but it should be fun for dawn-patrolers 🙂
Our friend here was pulled in by a fisherman at the Cocoa Beach Pier, about 40 minutes or so before I paddled out:
A Nursing Shark they say, but it doesn’t look like one to me, caught at Cocoa Beach Pier in the morning of November 11 2013
Here is a Nurse Shark:
Nurse-Shark-by-Dawn-Witherington
Black Tip Shark:
black-tip-diane-peebles-credit
Common Sharks of Florida website at University of Florida here:
Wednesday, afternoon a huge NE Windswell starts rolling in, very steep angle, like 42 to 45 degrees, so it may not be bigger than waist high by Wednesday evening, while it is hitting head high to overhead down south in Satellite because a NE swell comes in full strength in Satellite Beach just as soon as it hits. The Cape it needs to pass by a bit with the Port blocking much of it.
Big waves all weak with heavy onshore winds, and Sunday the models show a chance of being a chest high plus glassy day, but that could change to Saturday or Monday.
Thursday, Last Look, Weather.com shows NW winds at daybreak for the Cape, not Cocoa Beach (now CCB does show from dawn to 8ish NW, yeah), but NW also for Satellite Beach and Melbourne Beach. Probably cause CCB is at the base of the big old curve of our coastline, but heck, it still could be NW for CCB.
Thursday Size, the Cape, shoulder to head high, CCB to 2nd light Shoulder to 1 foot over head plus, Satellite Beach Shoulder to 2 foot plus overhead. Tide is Low going high, which ain’t so hot, but at 6 feet and 10 second period swell, it should be breaking outside far enough that the tide won’t affect it to bad.
6 feet at 11 seconds, Satellite Beach, Nov. 10 2011, shot by Oldwaverider (Art Hansen)
Here are two photos I shot from a NE swell like this one (it was a much more perfect swell with a massive fetch, but anyhow), this storm was a NE swell, was 6 feet at 11 seconds, the swell we have tomorrow is 6 feet at 10 seconds, so probably 30 to 40% less in size an power. (photo shot November 10, 2011, and had double overhead waves, the barrel was not double overhead, but the 2nd photo was more than double overhead)
Same day, 6 feet at 11 second period NE swell, shot Nov 10 2011 by Oldwaverider (Art)
So, Will we have a glassy epic day out of this big East/Northeast Windswell/Groundswell mix?
Thursday morning, The models for two days running, show that our winds are to turn North, slow way down to around 6 to 10 mph at daybreak, out of the North. They will increase throughout the day, but maybe only to 15 or so mph, turning NNE by lunch time or before. And the swell size, is showing 6 feet at 10 seconds, so that can produce solid head high to 2 foot overhead faces 🙂
It is possible we could see some size close to these pictures when we had NNW winds the morning of Earl, though these photos were taken later in the day, and the winds were NNW to NW, but subtract one to two foot in face height, and we could see something close to these:
My surf buddy Mike, from Lakeland was supposed to be taking photos of me surfing below, but got distracted during Hurricane Earl.
THE KEY THING TO NOTE HERE:Our 11/7/2013 Thursday morning, the swell period comes in Full steam at 10 seconds, and the Fetch of the swell (the distance in miles of Km’s, is 500 or 600 miles of nothing but one big chunk of 10 second period fetch covering the entire east coast Atlantic), so that means power and consistency and possibly, most likely very good form. Behind this swell, immediately, another NE swell of size starts rolling in, so we won’t have our surf let up before the next swell comes in.
These were taken by Mike Melito at the CCB Pier, Sept 2010 , Hurricane Earl. But for something to hope for this coming Thursday, 11/7, consider 2 foot smaller on face size 🙂
Friday looks like big chop again if the models hold, as the winds whip back around from Thursday.
Saturday more big chop.
Also from Hurricane Earl, by Mike Melito. But Thursday, our 6 ft 10 second period swell with 8 to 10 mph N and hopefully NNW for an hour, could produce 2 foot smaller than this, up North.
Sunday, looks like we could get chest to head high glass from the new swell, with an 8 second period swell, but that’s still a bit far out, to rely on the wind models.
Will there be a glassy juicy day with size coming this week? 3 days running now, Saturday holds to be the glassy rib to maybe a chest high day down south only, and Friday appears to be the biggest day with a chance of glassy from South winds but only South of around 13th Street, where the South winds breaks start. More reporting down below the video…
January 11, 2013, Shane Dorian paddled into the Biggest Wave and Ride of his life at Jaws. Breaking further outside than the lineup, and he was further out than the others;
Wednesday, the winds swell is rolling in, but weak and onshore in the 12 mph range and building thru the day, but, it will be a little rideable, and show waist high sets once in a while.
Thursday, thoughout the day, an East-Northeast windswell rolls in, probably giving us some thigh high waves at the Cape, and waist high down south with ESE winds starting probably 10 mph at daybreak, and increasing to 15 plus thru the day. Nothing to get excited about, but hey there will be waves.
Friday, late morning or early afternoon, an almost groundswell or a groundswell pushes in the back of the windswell and should give us waist to chest high waves at the Pier, and rib to some shoulder high sets in Satellite Beach.Direct South winds, in the 8 to 15 mph range, up until afternoon, and then the winds turn SSE.Playalinda , Sebastian, Spanish house it will be total offshore winds. At the Cape and North CCB, it will be onshore winds.From 13th Street South, it will be 5 to 10 degrees offshore depending on your break. South is the only place to go 🙂
Saturday, should be solid waist high, with some possible chest high sets down South.Winds should be offshore in the 10 to 15 mph ranges, Westerly mostly, and increase in late afternoon turning more NNW. But it is still early to call the winds until 48 hours out, so we’ll keep you posted.
Enjoy, looks like at least two solid fun days of waves!
Today was Awesome, Waist to Shoulder high, depending on how far south you went 🙂 Johnson Ave had one of those rare days, where the form held tight and perfect for 3 or 4 hours, and very light onshore winds, with long lines, and a few hundred yard rides to be had, well, on a longboard. Below is a video I shot of the pier this morning from 9 to 10 AM.
Waves Sunday? Down below…
Weather.com is showing 6 to 8 mph offshore winds, SSW turning SW by maybe 9 or 10. MSW is showing twice that on wind speed, so I guess we’ll see which model shows up first. I go with weather.com Anyhow; Sunday should be some knee to thigh high for the Cape, and waist high plus down south. Enjoy, I believe it’s the last day of this swell 🙂
Saturday morning, light NNE winds in the 3 to 5 mph range, and it could be offsore N to NNW up North here until 8 AM, and catch this! 17 hours ago, the 20 mile buoy said 5.2 feet at 11 seconds, well, at 9:50 PM tonight (Friday), it also said 5.2 feet at 11 seconds! And the nearshore buoy said 2.6 feet at 11 seconds at 1:30 this afternoon, well, at 9:50 tonight, it also said 2.6 feet at 11 seconds. The Fort Pierce buoy has held the same too, St. Augustine has dropped from 5 feet something at their 40 mile, to 3.6 at 11 seconds, but they get most North or South swells first anyhow. So, with the longer period coming in at midnight tonight, at 10 seconds, we should see some waist to chest high waves Saturday with some nice lines. Low tide at 3:10 am is the low low tide for the day, and the 9:35 high tide is the high high tide for the day, so that may , hold back some, but my best guess, is dawn patrol gets the biggest stuff, then it drops some, and then in late afternoon, it will pick back up, but with 5 to 7 mph winds. Should be fun!
Sunday should still have thigh to waist high plus sets and offshore in the morning 🙂
Today was really fun! Waist to Shoulder high, with a few 6 inch to 1 foot overhead faces on the drop in Satellite Beach. Nice lines, lots of close outs, but you just had to let em pass by.
Tropical Storm Erin should give some waist to possible chest high chop waves Sunday thru Wednesday, and maybe a Waist high glassy morning on Thursday, or Friday, or somewhere in there, if the storm doesn’t weaken anymore. 🙂 As soon as it gets 150 miles North of Central Florida, those winds could blow offshore and give us some glass.
Compliments of Magicseaweed.com hurricane tracking screenshot
CLEAN YOUR SURFBOARD ! Yes, I just stripped my Winter wax off my board, and yes, it was melting before I got it into the water during the last swell 🙂
Below is a link to a great article about cleaning your wax. And for the final touches, Turpentine or Gasoline works to get the residue off. NO ACETONE OR MINERAL SPIRITS ! THAT WILL DAMAGE THE FINISH ON YOUR BOARD !
Johnson Avenue Surfers 