Yep, 3 days now, the models show Thursday with a Ground/background swell coming with rib to chest high waves and glassy.
The video below is actually a foot or two smaller on the face, than what I expect tomorrow, but it was nice and glassy. The surfer is my buddy Mike Melito.
The Cape will be blocked out somewhat from this swell. The Pier should be waist high, and getting bigger, the further south you go.
As it stands, it’s a NE swell, with SW winds in the 8-12 mph range, picking up as the morning progresses. High tide is around 8 am, which is not optimal, but pick your spot, and it should be fun. Water temp is down to around 73 from 76 last week, so skin it or vest it.
A 9:10 PM update from the post I made earlier today. The 120 buoy hit 5.6 feet at 10 seconds at 2 pm, and now at 8 pm reading, it was 5.6 feet at 13 seconds. The 20 mile buoy was 3 feet at 8 seconds at 6 pm, and now is 3.6 feet at 13 seconds, and the near shore buoy hit 2 feet at 13 seconds around 7 pm. So it looks like the swell moved in a lot quicker , like 7 hours quicker. Hope the NW winds are still going to be with us, but at least the swell is here 😉 End 9:10 PM update.
If you get out at 10 or 11, there may be some size, but it may be choppy or heavy N winds. If you get out at daybreak, it may only be waist high , but glassy 🙂 Why?
Sunday, it should be waist to rib early, and maybe chest high while it’s still semi-glassy, then hard North winds. There is a short window, where the winds are NW in the 6-10 mph range, from daybreak till maybe 8 or 9. Then they go NNW around 9 or 10 in the 10-15 mph range. And North by as early as 11 am. High tide is at 5:20, Air Temp is 59 at daybreak, but warms up to 65 by 9. Water temp should be 67-68 degrees, so you can vest it or spring it, or just full suit it 🙂
The video below is two short clips of a couple nice little lefts at Hightowers, late in the afternoon on February 8th, 2016.
Enjoy Sunday !
Will it be big, glassy, warm or cold air for Sunday’s incoming ground swell? Check it out below ! ………and, for the Old , well and for the Young, I share a Longboarders video I did the summer of 2014, with photos I brought in from others of Piers, Beachs, all over the US , for variety, and a bunch of talented longboarders surfing a nice rib to shoulder high day in Satellite Beach. I hope you like the Beach Boys, cause they seemed appropriate for a Longboard and Beach Ladies video array!
Well, we’re 3 days out, but for Sunday it looks like rib to chest high with a nice chance of offshore winds for the Northern end of the county. (Not Playalinda, but for the Cape and North Cocoa Beach. Winds could be offshore till mid-morning. It is a one day swell , but a 2ndary wind swell comes in right behind to bring size on Monday, but the chances of big chop on Monday are pretty good. High tide is 5:20 AM for Satellite Beach, so by 7:30 a good portion of the deep water should be back in the faucet. Air temp is only 60 low, and 74 for a high, and the weather shows “SUNNY” for Sunday !
We’ll give a couple updates on the wind and swell, as Sunday comes closer.
Have a Great Thursday, and we hope to have a new Website for you by sometime in March , early April.
Can we expect some fun glassy surf tomorrow, on Tuesday?
Tuesday morning, We should have some chest high glassy wind swell out there, that ought make the chilly water worthwhile 🙂 Winds should be offshore till at least early afternoon, and at daybreak, SW winds, brisk, in the 10-12 mph range, low tide around 8:30 am.
Check out the video clip from last Monday, a nice 14 second rib to chest high left (excuse, I couldn’t. Every 20 minutes, a head high set would come through which actually had more juice and held up better, but only the longboarders were taking advantage of them. Why? The shortboarders would have fallen asleep waiting 🙂
Tuesday , Tropical Storm Kate took a few hours after daybreak to get nice and perhaps awesome. For those who were patient, here’s a surfing video I shot of friends and others:
Lots of Waves coming! Big chop, but the ground swell in a week will provide some glass 🙂
Surf video of TS/Hurricane Ida at the Cocoa Beach Pier, with Dennis of Core Surf and a couple others. Beautiful leftovers of Ida 🙂
Nice little wind swell moving in for Sunday morning, with perhaps waist to chest high clean, and maybe, just maybe glassy for an hour or so near daybreak Sunday morning. Satellite Beach is your best bet to get the size. If it blows offshore, probably from daybreak , for an hour , then light SE to East winds in the 3-5 mph range, building in speed as the morning grows older 🙂 (hopefully it won’t be a scattered thundershower to throw the winds whacko)
We may have a chest high plus and glassy day between Monday and Wednesday, so watch the wind charts, or check back here.
Sunday morning should be the day! Saturday was a dissapointment, except maybe for folks at the pier. But there was still some 50 yard rides for all, in other North breaks. The problem was caused by a secondary swell, that was aiming North to South from 3 am Saturday till maybe 3 Pm , a swell that was 3.5 feet at @ 6 seconds. So that was putting the bump in the middle of the swell in the morning , more noticeable down south, but took the juice out of much of the swell even up North.
Here’s a video compilation of Big Wednesday of Ida, with a nice soundtrack by Guerilla Jazz, called “One Day We’ll Be gone”, they are from Maui, Hi.
Sunday , the Hurricane Joaquin has dropped a little in size models, and now it also looks like the “size” arrives at it’s Peak, by around Noon to maybe 2:30 Pm or so. We have a secondary swell, but a very minimal one pointing south again, but I don’t think it will cause much issue, not like today anyhow. We do have West winds at the 120 buoy, so that could hold back some of the swell. I think we can look for Shoulder high plus at the Pier, with some bigger sets, and Satellite Beach should see some 10 foot rogue sets, with a lot of 6-9 foot sets. The winds shoudl be WNW at daybreck around 8 to 10 mph, switching to West down to around 6 to 8 mph.
Monday and Tuesday look big and fun also. Enjoy, and watch out for the bait fish predators!
Was it Huge and Epic today or what? CHECK OUT THIS VIDEO OF A DOUBLE (well almost double) OVERHEAD DROP, with the face size dropping quickly to 8 or 9 foot face, but still an awesome wave and ride in Satellite Beach today.
Satellite Beach was perfect walls/lines coming in, with minimal closeouts, and wave faces in the 8 to 12 foot range, yeah that’s right , the biggest sets had 12 foot faces! I may have gotten a 10 or 11 foot face on video, but since the huge sets were infrequent, none of the 12 surfers out, wanted to wait out there. BUT IT WAS PERFECT FORM!
I confess, I have been less than in top shape, so after my 7-10 foot face epic session in Satellite Beach the day before, I decided to surf the end of my street, where it was only 5 to 8 foot faces 🙂
Thursday morning should be some 7-9 foot faces with maybe a few 10’s left over with glass 🙂
Friday, should should be head high to overhead, and possible glass for North Cocoa Beach and the Cape.
Saturday, has the new storm coming in to piggy back Ida, and right now, is look to be 10-12 foot faces or bigger in Satellite Beach, with very strong offshore winds.
We’ll update y’all on Thursday!
Is Tuesday morning going to be the best offshore time, or is late afternoon, which is also low tide? The swell is holding it’s own at the 120 buoy as of 7 PM. The swell climbed back up to 8.5 feet @ 11 seconds. Probably either or. It was big and calm , turning 4 mph onshore this morning with up to 2 foot overhead sets in Satellite Beach.
Below, is another video sample of what we could see on Tuesday, and Wednesday morning. I shot these videos from Hurricane Gonzalo last year in early October, within 2 weeks of Tuesday and Wednesday.
Tuesday AM, the winds show mostly light SSW which is sideshore in N CCB and the Cape, and if light, then it can be a nice offshore wind for Satellite Beach. Weather.com shows 2-5 mph SSW up until 10 AM and then increasing to maybe 8 or 10. But by 1 PM, it looks to be blowing SW and with a Northeast swell, this is generally the best conditions for Satellite Beach. Well, except straight west or NW, depending on the swell. The point is, will it be clean and perfect in the AM, or mirror glass and perfect in the afternoon? Either way, we should see waist to chest high in the Cape, chest to shoulder high plus at the Pier with perhaps a few overhead sets. And 2 to 3 foot overhead sets in Satellite Beach throughout the day.
Wednesday still looks epic all day. It still looks to be about the same as Tuesday and perhaps better, unless we see the swell comes in early and peaks on Tuesday. For now, the models show to be increasing for Wednesday morning to 5 feet @ 11 seconds. So a swell that size has the ability to throw double overhead waves. 2 to 3 foot overhead for sure.
Thursday and Friday still look incredible with at least chest high and glassy both mornings. Gotta love that upper level windshear.
Will we see some of Ida hit this afternoon? I believe so. It officially hit the 120 buoy at around 4 feet @ 1 1 seconds at 10 AM this morning, and hit 6.6 ft @ 13 seconds at 2:50 PM at the 120 mile buoy!
I believe it’s time to re-circulate, the Hurricane Gonzalo video, (from October of last year:) to share what Wednesday morning and Tuesday night could hold for us 🙂
So It should hit the 20 mile buoy partial I hope at the 3:50 PM reading. Hopefully over 4 feet at 12 seconds. Why do I care? Because, I would like it to hit something at our beaches before 6 pm so we can get a taste of the storm tonight.
Monday morning it will be chest to head high with light onshore winds. 5% chance of offshores for one hour early, but most likely 2-6 mph easterly in some fashion.
Tuesday, it will be slight offshore in South CCB and Satellite Beach (meaning south winds), but by late afternoon Tuesday, it could be 4-6 foot swells, or 4 to 7 foot faces on the biggest sets, with a sneaker big one, in Satellite Beach and glassy close to dark and maybe glassy as early as 2 or 3 pm. The swell angle isn’t too step NE, so it should be waist high at least at the Cape by Tuesday afternoon/eveving. NOTE: THE WINDS ARE SHOWING SW for Tuesday late afternoon/evening, which is full offshore down south, and sideshore or slight offshore at the Cape. SW is offshore at the Cape but SSW is sideshore.
Wednesday morning should be the Epic big glassy day everywhere if the models hold up for the 4rth day in a row. 4-6 foot swells early, 5 to 8 foot plus faces and in Satellite Beach with maybe bigger sets on a rogue basis 🙂 See video above for possible size …
And there is waves all week, and a new big swell coming in next weekend!
Be safe, and be balsy!