The 120 buoy has had some 6 foot readings in the 11 second period range as of 5:00 PM today and around 8 PM, with some 9 second readings mixed in. So this is part two of the swell we have had,along with a new swell rolling in.
It should be offshore , turning NW in the 4-8 mph range Sunday morning. High tide around 4:08 am, so by 7:30 it should start having some juice to it, provided no morning sickness is upon us. I think it will be waist to rib high and fairly glassy down south. The size up North should be more like the waist high range.
A few photos below of Hurricane Ida and Oldwaverider, shot by my buddy Mike Melito, the big day, but in my old age, some days, I don’t want to battle the 8-12 foot face days paddle out, and in this case, I headed back North to Canaveral, skipping my favorite Satellite Beach Breaks. So i went soft a few days, 🙂
Sunday morning should be the day!Saturday was a dissapointment, except maybe for folks at the pier. But there was still some 50 yard rides for all, in other North breaks. The problem was caused by a secondary swell, that was aiming North to South from 3 am Saturday till maybe 3 Pm , a swell that was 3.5 feet at @ 6 seconds. So that was putting the bump in the middle of the swell in the morning , more noticeable down south, but took the juice out of much of the swell even up North.
Here’s a video compilation of Big Wednesday of Ida,with a nice soundtrack by Guerilla Jazz, called “One Day We’ll Be gone”, they are from Maui, Hi.
Sunday , the Hurricane Joaquin has dropped a little in size models, and now it also looks like the “size” arrives at it’s Peak, by around Noon to maybe 2:30 Pm or so. We have a secondary swell, but a very minimal one pointing south again, but I don’t think it will cause much issue, not like today anyhow. We do have West winds at the 120 buoy, so that could hold back some of the swell. I think we can look for Shoulder high plus at the Pier, with some bigger sets, and Satellite Beach should see some 10 foot rogue sets, with a lot of 6-9 foot sets.The winds shoudl be WNW at daybreck around 8 to 10 mph, switching to West down to around 6 to 8 mph.
Monday and Tuesday look big and fun also. Enjoy, and watch out for the bait fish predators!
Friday should be really nice, with waist high plus at the Pier, and Head high plus in Saturday in Satellite Beach.Winds should be around NW, in a brisk 8 to 12 mph at daybreak.
Here’s another short video clip from Big Wednesday in Satellite Beach. It started as a near double overhead face, tapering off quick, but made for a nice , perfect ride without almost a coverup.
Saturday, as the Easterly swell begins to piggyback this powerful NE swell we’ve had, and it should start arriving by noon or 1 PM Saturday morning, and all through the night. It should be 2 feet overhead by mid-afternoon, getting close to double overhead by dark.Winds look to be offshore most of the day.
Sundaymorning could be massive, and hit double overhead for the entire morning.It has a chance of reaching the status of Hurricane Sandy, with Very strong offshore West winds, perhaps in the 12-20 mph range.
Was it Huge and Epic today or what?CHECK OUT THIS VIDEO OF A DOUBLE (well almost double) OVERHEAD DROP, with the face size dropping quickly to 8 or 9 foot face, but still an awesome wave and ride in Satellite Beach today.
Satellite Beach was perfect walls/lines coming in, with minimal closeouts, and wave faces in the 8 to 12 foot range, yeah that’s right , the biggest sets had 12 foot faces! I may have gotten a 10 or 11 foot face on video, but since the huge sets were infrequent, none of the 12 surfers out, wanted to wait out there. BUT IT WAS PERFECT FORM!
I confess, I have been less than in top shape, so after my 7-10 foot face epic session in Satellite Beach the day before, I decided to surf the end of my street, where it was only 5 to 8 foot faces 🙂
Thursdaymorning should be some 7-9 foot faces with maybe a few 10’s left over with glass 🙂
Friday, should should be head high to overhead, and possible glass for North Cocoa Beach and the Cape.
Saturday, has the new storm coming in to piggy back Ida, and right now, is look to be 10-12 foot faces or bigger in Satellite Beach, with very strong offshore winds.
Is Tuesday morning going to be the best offshore time, or is late afternoon, which is also low tide? The swell is holding it’s own at the 120 buoy as of 7 PM. The swell climbed back up to 8.5 feet @ 11 seconds. Probably either or. It was big and calm , turning 4 mph onshore this morning with up to 2 foot overhead sets in Satellite Beach.
Below, is another video sample of what we could see on Tuesday, and Wednesday morning.I shot these videos from Hurricane Gonzalo last year in early October, within 2 weeks of Tuesday and Wednesday.
Tuesday AM, the winds show mostly light SSW which is sideshore in N CCB and the Cape, and if light, then it can be a nice offshore wind for Satellite Beach. Weather.com shows 2-5 mph SSW up until 10 AM and then increasing to maybe 8 or 10. But by 1 PM, it looks to be blowing SW and with a Northeast swell, this is generally the best conditions for Satellite Beach. Well, except straight west or NW, depending on the swell. The point is, will it be clean and perfect in the AM, or mirror glass and perfect in the afternoon? Either way, we should see waist to chest high in the Cape, chest to shoulder high plus at the Pier with perhaps a few overhead sets. And 2 to 3 foot overhead sets in Satellite Beach throughout the day.
Wednesday still looks epic all day. It still looks to be about the same as Tuesday and perhaps better, unless we see the swell comes in early and peaks on Tuesday. For now, the models show to be increasing for Wednesday morning to5 feet @ 11 seconds. So a swell that size has the ability to throw double overhead waves. 2 to 3 foot overhead for sure.
Thursday and Fridaystill look incredible with at least chest high and glassy both mornings. Gotta love that upper level windshear.
Will we see some of Ida hit this afternoon? I believe so. It officially hit the 120 buoy at around 4 feet @ 1 1 seconds at 10 AM this morning, and hit 6.6 ft @ 13 seconds at 2:50 PM at the 120 mile buoy!
I believe it’s time to re-circulate, the Hurricane Gonzalo video, (from October of last year:) to share what Wednesday morning and Tuesday night could hold for us 🙂
So It should hit the 20 mile buoy partial I hope at the 3:50 PM reading. Hopefully over 4 feet at 12 seconds. Why do I care? Because, I would like it to hit something at our beaches before 6 pm so we can get a taste of the storm tonight.
Monday morning it will be chest to head high with light onshore winds.5% chance of offshores for one hour early, but most likely 2-6 mph easterly in some fashion.
Tuesday, it will be slight offshore in South CCB and Satellite Beach (meaning south winds), but by late afternoon Tuesday, it could be 4-6 foot swells, or 4 to 7 foot faces on the biggest sets, with a sneaker big one, in Satellite Beach and glassy close to dark and maybe glassy as early as 2 or 3 pm. The swell angle isn’t too step NE, so it should be waist high at least at the Cape by Tuesday afternoon/eveving. NOTE: THE WINDS ARE SHOWING SW for Tuesday late afternoon/evening, which is full offshore down south, and sideshore or slight offshore at the Cape. SW is offshore at the Cape but SSW is sideshore.
Wednesday morning should be the Epic big glassy day everywhere if the models hold up for the 4rth day in a row. 4-6 foot swells early, 5 to 8 foot plus faces and in Satellite Beach with maybe bigger sets on a rogue basis 🙂 See video above for possible size …
And there is waves all week, and a new big swell coming in next weekend!
What should Thursday bring? See the Video of the 2nd big day (smaller than the day before), of the big Nor-easter we had December 11th, in Satellite Beach down below!
The models show 7-7.5 feet at 13 seconds which means, 8 to 12 foot faces, possibly plus, in Satellite Beach. If the winds are low, as Weather.com says they should be at daybreak, then the swell should fully come in. If they are hard offshore, then as we saw the delay with Gonzalo and a few other swells, they can take an extra day to come in, or get blown apart a bit.
Wednesday will have some size kicking in with some very strong NNW winds switching North as the size builds thru the day, but I shall wait for Thursday, when it’s 48 in the morning, LOL 🙂
Thursday morning should be 6-8 foot faces at the Pier with bigger sets, and 8-12 foot faces in Satellite Beach with bigger sets.Winds show offshore, West winds around 4-6 mph, and increasing all day, up to 20 plus mph, so get out early!(4rth day of the models have said this, and when the models hold up for 3 or 4 days, they usually materialize)
Friday looks like strong North winds, still huge, and maybe blowing offshore NNW to NW later in the day.
Saturday looks rib to chest high and offshore and lots of fun.
The video below is from the 2nd biggest day of the 7 day Northeast swell we had the 1st and 2nd week of December. This video was shot 12/11/2014, around 10 Am to 12 Pm. The soundtrack is from a band called “Guerrilla Jazz”, from Maui, Hawaii. The song is called “One Day We’ll Be Gone”. Billy Kemper, a big wave surfer in Hawaii, has a cousin or relative in the band. Four or so years ago, this video below mine, was done with Laird Hamilton mentoring Billy, along with Ian Walsh.
We have a quick powerful ground swell coming in for Sunday morning/day, and for two days running, the models show south winds, which is slight offshore for South CCB to the Inlet.
Sunday morning it could be chest to shoulder high plus and clean/semi-glass conditions. Low tide around 6:30 AM
Get excited! That’s a lot more than the knee high stuff we’ve had since the big NE’ster 🙂
If you haven’t seen the 2nd Hurricane Gonzalo video (1st one below) or the no Tripod, quick 3 clips of the big glassy day in Satellite Beach of the Big Northeast 7 day swell (2nd video), check them out!
What Size and Form can we expect Tuesday morning and day?Maybe chest high and glassy…
JUST KIDDING 🙂
WOW! The 20 mile buoy hit 11.5 feet at 15 seconds at 10 PM tonight.
It will be overhead for sure ! How big? My call for Tuesday morning and day is 3 to 6 foot overhead is the possibility with possible bigger sets. More like 3 -4 foot overhead on the bigger sets at the Pier and in Cocoa Beach. Satellite Beach, if the storm fully comes in tomorrow, I don’t think the winds will be too strong West at the 120 to hold it back, but at the beach, it may delay it a half day. But being optimistic, I believe in Satellite Beach we have a good chance at some double overhead waves.
Winds Tuesday should be in the 18-20 mph range at daybreak from the NW, and slowing down, tidbits, to maybe 12 mph WNW at 6 PM.
Air temp high should be around 64 at Noon or 1 PM, water temp 68-69 degrees. The sun pops out by 9 am, and should be completely sunny by 11 or 12 noon. High tide going low is at 9:15 for the Port, and 9:30 in Satellite Beach. So I like the noon approach where the winds are down to 15 mph, and mid tide is 12:30.
Wednesday will be very cold(for Florida surfing weather , not for Snowbirds or transplants). The low temp for Wednesday at daybreak is 47 and the high is 58 around 1 or 2 PM. Which is also the best time to paddle out (in my opinion, cause I like high going low mid-tide best in Satellite, cause I ride a long board).
Surf size Wednesday, if there is no delay from the winds holding the swell back, should be 2 to 4 foot overhead with NW winds in the 14 to 6 mph range, going from daybreak to 6 PM.
Big glassy surf expected for Thursday and decent for Friday also. This weather pattern up above is doing a nice job giving us offshore winds too, praise God for that one too!
The photos below are from a NE swell on November 10 2011 that was 6 feet at 11-12 seconds. We had a few 12-14 foot face sets that day in Satellite. I shot many double overhead sequence rides, and some smaller shots, like the barrel that I caught the guy in below (was a 6 shot sequence)
Saturday Morning and Hurricane Gonzalo was so Epic at day break, when most of the Walls were peeling fast but makeable. Saturday, October 18 2014 that is. Not until 9:30 Am or so, did it be come more challenging to choose a wave 🙂 The video below is the second and probably last long one from Gonzalo. I shot about 250 clips that day, 150 in Satellite and 100 at the Pier. (Note: the video is still uploading at YouTube and should be done by 1:30 PM or before)
Those of you that were there at our Awesome Rock Break in Satellite Beach, know who you are, and where this was shot. Thanks for all your great surfing, and footage for me to devour!
And I would like to note, that the biggest wall/wave that came in, was caught by a young lady, and she made the most perfect drop (the wave was peeling fast, but perfect), and I may slow motion that clip by itself, to upload to Magicseaweed.com at the Satellite Beach location, where I have most of my photos and videos posted.
So I had to toss a couple barrels in here in kind of a slow motion (yeah I did take two from last video), just to show the insides of the barrel, and this one guy with an excellent off the lip on an Epic wave in form and size.
There were quite a few 10 foot faces to show that morning, though the common sets were 6-8 foot faces. The video is about 4 minutes long, and I did it in 1080P, cause the 720P version annoyed me, LOL 🙂
I hope you enjoy. AND THANK YOU YOU TUBE FOR PERMITTING ME TO UPLOAD 1080p VIDEO!
Oh, and we do have 3 -5 days of big chop surf coming by Sunday night, Monday morning.
Johnson Avenue Surfers 