Basically the Same outlook as my post on Saturday. Wednesday morning is the big offshore day with West winds most of the day. Size, 5 feet at 15-16 seconds will produce 3 to 5 foot overhead waves.
Thursday , as it stands, is looking over overhead with NW winds early, so get a real early start Thursday.
Hurricane Edouard is expected to hit a Category 2 Hurricane on Tuesday.
When does Edouard provide the first great Surf Day? Today marks the 3rd day that Wednesday will be big and offshore winds in the morning. What does big mean. The models for Hurricane Edouard show 5 feet at 15 seconds between 6 & 9 AM Wednesday morning. Note: Hurricane Leslie, was a 4.5 feet at 13 second period swell. Quite a bit less powerful than Edouard so far. See the rest of Forecast below Surf photo. At the bottom of this post is the path of Hurricane Edouard, an image from Channel 13 news Hurricane Tracking.
Below is a photo my friend Mike Melito took of Hurricane Leslie :
So what does the Forecast for Wednesday thru Saturday look like for Hurricane Edouard?
Wednesday is the peak of the swell, with 5 feet at 15 seconds most of the day. Size 5-7 foot swell, produces 2 to 5 foot overhead waves. West winds at 8 to 12 mph, and turns onshore by early afternoon.
Thursday swell size, 4-6 feet early, and 3-5 feet by 10 AM. Should be overhead to 2 foot overhead plus in Satellite Beach, with offshore winds , but only for a few ours in the morning.
Friday swell size, 2-4 foot, so it should be waist to chest high and even bigger sets. It may be offshore, but it’s still too far to confirm what direction.
Eduard should be in Tuesday night, and for two days running Thursday looks overhead and offshore. And now Wednesday looks to be offshore and way overhead, with a Friday chest to head high glassy day of leftovers. But we will see… 🙂
Wednesday night 9:30 PM update! THE BUOYS ARE BIGGER AND MORE POWERFUL THAN THEY WERE IN THE LAST 36 HOURS! 120 Mile Buoy hit 9.5 feet at 11 seconds (strongest period yet for this swell), and the 20 mile buoy hit 6.6 feet at 11 seconds, also bigger and stronger than anything today or yesterday, and the reading I just listed was for 8:50 PM Wednesday night!
Today, was almost Epic! Plenty of 100 yard rides to be had, with lots of power. And yes, there were plenty of entertaining close-outs, but you could let many of them pass by with good judgement 🙂 The almost perfect form, size and power, did not really kick in until around 10:00 AM. After 10, size climbed a foot on the face size, and the power increased significantly!
The Video below, is a good example of the form we had today, though the size was perhaps, a foot bigger today for Hurricane Cristobal. (The Video is actually from a November 23, 2012 shoot that I did in Satellite Beach) I just wanted to share how nice the form looked and worked today.
Thursday morning, we should expect the same size as today, if not 6 inches bigger, and I believe the power will be 20% more punch on Thursday. Why? The period of the swell increases overnight. The winds are expected to be 3 to 5 mph onshore E to NE, but again, we could have an hour or so of offshore winds. Either way, it should be pretty good form and long rides Thursday!
Friday, size drops to waist high with light onshore winds, which will give the NKF Rich Salick Pro/Am Surf Festival/contest something to make it worthwhile to have a contest.
Thursday is still looking like the Crystal Ball could be an Epic reading for us… But then, watch out for Wednesday! I am re-posting our Hurricane Bertha surf video here:
Video by: http://www.walkonwaterproductions.biz
Wednesday should be slight offshore for the Cape and head high to overhead between the Cape, and some North CCB breaks. Winds should be North in the 6 to 8 mph range at daybreak till around 10 AM. That is slight offshore for the Cape. And with the old land, cooling down faster than Sea scientific fact, it could blow NNW Wednesday morning for an hour.
Thursday, still looks to be chest to overhead, with winds from the models showing offshore till maybe 10 AM, but Weather.com shows 3-4 mph onshore at daybreak. We’ll wee.
Benji Brand in a 1 Kilometer long barrell ride
Friday with leftovers for the contest, waist to stomach high maybe offshore, we’ll see.
Will we see Tropical Storm Cristobal Monday morning? Yep!
It hit the 120 mile buoy at 12 Noon today, around 3 feet at 10 seconds, and just hit 4.6 feet at 11 seconds at 6:50 PM reading. At 8 am this morning, the swell that was out there was 2.3 feet at 6 or 7 seconds.
Monday morning, it should be around waist high, because the winds will be onshore, but maybe under 10 mph up until 8 am, then pickup up to 10 to 15 mph my guess by noon. It most likely will be raining with thunder storms around in the morning too. By Monday at 6 PM, it should be solid head high down south, maybe overhead, and chest to shoulder high at the Pier. Tuesday, size should jack up another foot on the fact, with head high onshore chop at the pier with bigger sets, and head high to a foot or two overhead down south.
Wednesday morning should be shoulder to head high with 8 to 12 mph onshore winds, with the winds possibly backing off a little all day. So , if you can get out, wait till 9:30 or 10 (high tide at 9:30), and catch it to mid tide high going low, with the winds slowing down a bit. Swell size starts to drop after 3 or 4 pm, as the models show right now. Wednesday should be a lot of fun.
Thursday, size drops off quite a bit, but still may have some chest high waves with even lighter onshore winds, like 4 to 8 mph, so it should be lots of fun Thursday. Friday should have some fun leftovers for the Surf contest, in the waist high plus range, light onshores, maybe offshore early. Saturday, will most likely be longboard only with offshore winds.
We’ll post more accurate winds Monday night to see what to expect for Wednesday. All these forecasts could change if the storm weakens, picks up speed. (disclaimer done 🙂
Want something to do next weekend? Here ya go, the NKF Labor Day Surf Festival, and here is a screenshot of the website, check out all the events! Follow the link to check it out at their website here:
Sunday afternoon late, we should see some of the swell rolling in with waist high waves. The Groundswell/Windswell model, appears to build from Sunday thru Wednesday, peaking in the 5 to 8 foot range. Thursday, if the storm holds together, could be the big glassy day with overhead waves and offshore winds in the morning. The video below is of Hurricane Bertha in Cocoa Beach, 4rth street, from August 5 2014, shot around 10 AM that Tuesday morning. (it is still processing at YouTube, so by 7 PM or before, it should be ready)
For now, expect Sunday to have something around waist high late afternoon. Monday builds all day with probably some head high faces before dinner time. Onshore winds. Tuesday more of the same, but building.
Wednesday, could be the crazy day, anywhere from Overhead to 3 foot overhead with onshore winds. The fetch (diameter of the storm), is not that large, maybe 500-700 miles, and it cruises from a hug the Bahamas on the East side very close, parallels the coast, and if it holds together, as it passes Brevard by a 100 miles or so, we could have epic overhead waves with brisk offshore winds Thursday morning, or whenever the storm passes by and holds together of course.
Get excited folks, get some exercise, sunscreen and make sure your boards are prepped!
Oldwaverider
Actually, I shall wait until Saturday afternoon. Since the swell appears to be rolling in Sunday afternoon, Monday may be the big day, big chop of course, but it appears that Tuesday, Wednesday, should have some size, with maybe a glassy waist high leftover Thursday 🙂 Updated 10:41 PM Friday night
I will give a full updated report, a little later today, but know, we do have a Ground/Windswell coming!
Oldwaverider
I just felt this video should be in my Big Wave collection of videos.
A Small Southeast swell is rolling in, during the day Friday and will be here through Saturday. We could have some knee to waist high waves with offshore winds both mornings.
The video below is an unknown surfer at 4rth street in Cocoa Beach on Tuesday. I hope to have a 2 to 4 minute video of Big Tuesday in the next week. Wednesday had some waist high plus waves too, at O Club and south, however, no video from Wednesday.
video by WalkonWaterProductions.biz
Oldwaverider
Johnson Avenue Surfers 