This will be my general predictions of incoming swells, size potential and what may be the best days to go out. I may not be able to update everyday, but I’ll do my best. THE SIZE IS BASED ON A RANGE FROM THE PIER TO SATELLITE BEACH. WE HAVE TO KNOCK OFF A FOOT OR TWO FOR JOHNSON AVENUE. My apologies.
We have a quick powerful ground swell coming in for Sunday morning/day, and for two days running, the models show south winds, which is slight offshore for South CCB to the Inlet.
Sunday morning it could be chest to shoulder high plus and clean/semi-glass conditions. Low tide around 6:30 AM
Get excited! That’s a lot more than the knee high stuff we’ve had since the big NE’ster 🙂
If you haven’t seen the 2nd Hurricane Gonzalo video (1st one below) or the no Tripod, quick 3 clips of the big glassy day in Satellite Beach of the Big Northeast 7 day swell (2nd video), check them out!
What Size and Form can we expect Tuesday morning and day?Maybe chest high and glassy…
JUST KIDDING 🙂
WOW! The 20 mile buoy hit 11.5 feet at 15 seconds at 10 PM tonight.
It will be overhead for sure ! How big? My call for Tuesday morning and day is 3 to 6 foot overhead is the possibility with possible bigger sets. More like 3 -4 foot overhead on the bigger sets at the Pier and in Cocoa Beach. Satellite Beach, if the storm fully comes in tomorrow, I don’t think the winds will be too strong West at the 120 to hold it back, but at the beach, it may delay it a half day. But being optimistic, I believe in Satellite Beach we have a good chance at some double overhead waves.
Winds Tuesday should be in the 18-20 mph range at daybreak from the NW, and slowing down, tidbits, to maybe 12 mph WNW at 6 PM.
Air temp high should be around 64 at Noon or 1 PM, water temp 68-69 degrees. The sun pops out by 9 am, and should be completely sunny by 11 or 12 noon. High tide going low is at 9:15 for the Port, and 9:30 in Satellite Beach. So I like the noon approach where the winds are down to 15 mph, and mid tide is 12:30.
Wednesday will be very cold(for Florida surfing weather , not for Snowbirds or transplants). The low temp for Wednesday at daybreak is 47 and the high is 58 around 1 or 2 PM. Which is also the best time to paddle out (in my opinion, cause I like high going low mid-tide best in Satellite, cause I ride a long board).
Surf size Wednesday, if there is no delay from the winds holding the swell back, should be 2 to 4 foot overhead with NW winds in the 14 to 6 mph range, going from daybreak to 6 PM.
Big glassy surf expected for Thursday and decent for Friday also. This weather pattern up above is doing a nice job giving us offshore winds too, praise God for that one too!
The photos below are from a NE swell on November 10 2011 that was 6 feet at 11-12 seconds. We had a few 12-14 foot face sets that day in Satellite. I shot many double overhead sequence rides, and some smaller shots, like the barrel that I caught the guy in below (was a 6 shot sequence)
Sunday could jump from waist to chest high and be bigger than today if that incoming swell, taps the one we will have leaving tomorrow. Winds should be NW till 11 in Satellite, then turning NNW, which means up North it will be glassier longer
Could be chest high down south and glassy North to South.
Third day straight, Monday’smodel looks chest to shoulder high with my guess head high plus drops in the morning, till maybe noon. Then just a few inches smaller.
Could be fairly glassy too, mostly down south because of SSW to maybe SW winds, but looking more 8-12 mph SSW winds.
Saturday just plain overhead big chop with those times at the pier where it has an illusive clean look too it for an hour or so.
Sunday afternoon, at Playalinda could be hard hard offshore wind with 1 to 3 foot overhead faces. More side chop to slight onshore for the Cape to Minuteman. A little cleaner down south.
Video below, from 2015 Billabong XXL Ride of the Year Entry clip at Jaws, Maui. Grant ‘Twiggy” Baker from South Africa on a nice perfect medium huge Jaws face and a mega long ride 🙂
When we first got to RC’s North at 7:15-7:30, the lines were epic! I had to earnestly look for a closeout. After my 2 hours, yes, the closeouts began. When I started to shoot footage; but there were still plenty of Waves holding up still from 10 – 12 PM!
(NOTE: To see the best quality, click two of the lower right YouTube icons on the controls. Click the gear and choose at least 720P or if u have great bandwidth go for 1080P. Also choose the “Full Screen” icon on the far right, and then start the video over so the quality kicks in. YouTube defaults at 360P and I can’t blame them! Turn your volume up too for the Music)
The crowds were nill, yeah, the paddle out and the sets looked intimidating (for Florida, LOL), but when you see perfect 6-9 foot faces , with a 10 foot face thrown in every 15 minutes or so, heading back North to Cocoa Beach and the Cape did not seem like an option 🙂
Today, we have waist to chest high plus with winds SW at 2nd light wind monitor at the base, and that was around 6 at 8:30 AM, which already changed from WNW. Get out while you can!
Great Hurricane; though I do hope and pray Bermuda came out okay …
The 20 mile buoy is showing 4 feet at 5 seconds, last 11 second reading was last night at 10 PM The rest of the readings are 5 or 6 seconds. The 120 buoy is showing over 3 feet at 13 seconds and though it has dropped from 5 feet which was expected it has shown solid swell, and Fort Pierce buoy is 3 feet at 13 seconds. That tells me maybe no waves at the Pier, and maybe not even in Satellite Beach because the angle of the swell barely hit Fort Pierce. The Fernandina Beach buoy also hit 3 feet at 12 or 13 seconds last night at 10:30 PM, but is also only showing a 4 to 6 second period swell after that time. We shall see.
The video below has some really nice talent on 5 on 6 waves from Hurricane Edouard. I shot the footage around 10 AM in the morning, after my session. Location was Satellite Beach and was breaking from Chest high to an occasional 2 foot overhead drop. Beautiful Day, Great Surf, and some nice Eye Candy too 🙂
The winds will be turning North by late morning, so winds will be offshore North of Minuteman Cswy. Should be Chest high to some overhead sets with West NW to NNW.
Have a Great Surf Day and thank God for Safe Hurricanes!
Johnson Avenue Surfers 