Category: Brevard Surf Predictions Cape Canaveral, Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach

This will be my general predictions of incoming swells, size potential and what may be the best days to go out. I may not be able to update everyday, but I’ll do my best. THE SIZE IS BASED ON A RANGE FROM THE PIER TO SATELLITE BEACH. WE HAVE TO KNOCK OFF A FOOT OR TWO FOR JOHNSON AVENUE. My apologies.

Edouard still coming on Strong! Grazed the 120 mile buoy at 4 PM today. 8:00 PM Update Tuesday night for Hurricane Edouard Surf, Surf Report and Forecast for Cape Canaveral, Cocoa Beach and Satellite beach, posted 8 PM 09/16/2014

by oldwaverider, posted in Brevard Surf Predictions Cape Canaveral, Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach

We were all hoping to see a trace of swell at the beaches tonight before dark.  Oh Well ! :<(

It did hit the 120 mile buoy out from the Cape at 4 PM.   Just a trace.  The swell out there as been 1.4 to 2 feet at 7-8 seconds.  At 3:50 PM, it finally hit 2.3 feet at 13 seconds, and then a couple 8 second readings.  Anticpation………………………..Below are 3 charts.   The first is the Swell at 6 am Wednesday morning, the second is the power of the swell period at 6 am and the third is from today at 3 PM the Swell Period.  Notice how the period hit the beaches way before the waves did.  Very strange.  Low end, 2 foot over head waves.  High end for Wednesday, 5 foot overhead (down South and maybe, just maybe the Pier 🙂  My calls are below.

Swell-Chart-Magicseaweed.com-6-AM-Wednesday-09-17-14
Swell Chart for the Surf size at 6 AM Wednesday morning, compliments of Magicseaweed.com

Wednesday at 9 AM,  (daybreak should still be chest high or bigger), but by 9 AM, before the scattered thunderstorms are supposed to start around 10 AM,  I believe there will be some size.   At the Cape, The Pier,  head high to 2 foot overhead, with rogue bigger sets.  Satellite Beach may show some 1-3 foot overhead sets.  By 1 or 2 PM,  it could jack up to a consistent 2-4 foot overhead for the big sets.  Deep down, I think a 4 or 5 foot overhead rogue wave will not be uncommon at the Rock Reef breaks in Satellite Beach.  The winds could blow as hard as 10-16 mph WSW.  Those winds should slow down a little thru the day.

 

Period-of-Swell-Chart-Magicseaweed.com-6-AM-Wednesday-09-17-14
Period (strength of swell) Chart for the Surf at 6 AM Wednesday morning, compliments of Magicseaweed.com

Thursday,  it should be solid shoulder high to overhead in the morning, with the size dropping thru the day.  Offshore winds in the morning, and the winds should be NW turning NNW to North, so Satellite does crank with NW winds, but it you get out late, stay North of Minuteman Causeway, to catch the North wind breaks.

 

 

 

Period-of-Swell-Chart-Magicseaweed.com-3-PM-Tuesday-09-16-14
Period (strength) of the Swell Chart for the Surf at 3 PM today, Tuesday compliments of Magicseaweed.com

Have fun, be safe, and watch for the Thunderstorms coming from the central part of the state.  Those could kick in as early as 9 or 10 am, and should keep coming all day.

Oldwaverider

How Big will Edouard get? 6 days straight showing same swell size, that is Sweet! Update Monday night for Hurricane Edouard Surf, Surf Report and Forecast for Cape Canaveral, Cocoa Beach and Satellite beach, posted 9:45 PM 09/15/2014

by oldwaverider, posted in Brevard Huge Swell and Hurricane Photos, Brevard Surf Predictions Cape Canaveral, Brevard Surf Predictions Cape Canaveral, Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach

What does 4.5 feet at 16 seconds really mean?  And the swell peaks around 9-12 Wednesday at 5 feet at 15 seconds.  Well…see below my Wednesday, Thursday call to see why it could hit close to double overhead for a few hours late morning in Satellite Beach  till maybe, 1 pm Wednesday.  Leslie in 2012 a month before Sandy was 4.3 feet at 13 seconds and delivered some 11 foot faces at RC’s.

A Hurricane Sandy wave, medium wave, Oct 28 2012, photo by Mike MelitoWednesday morning, I am calling 2-3 feet overhead at the Pier, with freak sets that are bigger.  By noon, I suspect Satellite will have 3 -4 foot overhead big sets, and bigger rogue sets.  Winds should be 10 to 15 mph West.

Thursday, shoulder high to 1 foot overhead at the Pier and Satellite, with bigger sets.  NW winds until 11ish, then sideshore winds.

Friday, barely leftovers with a new swell coming in for Saturday and Sunday in the thigh to waist high range.  Waves for 5 days, yeah!

You have to consider a few things.  A swell that comes from Africa, has a chance to develop a great deal of power even when the swell size is smaller than say a Sandy which traveled from the Caribbean.  Sandy hit 18-20 feet at 17-19 seconds, but the swell could not travel far and reach the deep ocean depth that a storm from Africa can.  Sandy was freak huge due to the power of the hurricane, yeah.  And, Sandy did not closeout, hardly at all.  Eduard, the fetch of the swell (the width, and height, is much much taller than the U.S. from Florida to Canada.  Look at the Period chart.  It is so big, and so perfectly uniform like the Nov 10 2011 swell.  That swell was 6 feet at 11 seconds, but 5 feet at 15 seconds is a lot of power.  We’ll see.  I’m rambling kinda 🙂

Anyhow, Eduard could be 3 to 6 feet overhead when it hits the better spots.  It will be 1000 miles form our coast, maybe a little less, but it has generated some power.  A 15 second period has a wave traveling at you at 45 mph.  An 11 second swell, travels at you in the lineup at 33 mph.  50% difference.

Wednesday September 17th from Hurricane Edouard could be really big! Thursday thru Saturday still look great! , Surf Report and Forecast for Cape Canaveral, Cocoa Beach and Satellite beach, posted 5:45 PM 09/13/2014

by oldwaverider, posted in Brevard Huge Swell and Hurricane Photos, Brevard Surf Predictions Cape Canaveral, Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach, Florida Hurricanes

When does Edouard provide the first great Surf Day?  Today marks the 3rd day that Wednesday will be big and offshore winds in the morning.  What does big mean.  The models for Hurricane Edouard show 5 feet at 15 seconds between 6 & 9 AM Wednesday morning.  Note: Hurricane Leslie, was a 4.5 feet at 13 second period swell.  Quite a bit less powerful than Edouard so far.  See the rest of Forecast below Surf photo.  At the bottom of this post is the path of Hurricane Edouard, an image from Channel 13 news Hurricane Tracking.

Below is a photo my friend Mike Melito took of Hurricane Leslie :

Hurricane Leslie at RC's, September 8th, 2012, photo by Mike Melito. Swell size: 4.5 feet at 13 seconds.

So what does the Forecast for Wednesday thru Saturday look like for Hurricane Edouard?

Wednesday is the peak of the swell, with 5 feet at 15 seconds most of the day.  Size 5-7 foot swell, produces 2 to 5 foot overhead waves.  West winds at 8 to 12 mph, and turns onshore by early afternoon.

Thursday swell size, 4-6 feet early, and 3-5 feet by 10 AM.  Should be overhead to 2 foot overhead plus in Satellite Beach, with offshore winds , but only for a few ours in the morning.

Friday swell size, 2-4 foot, so it should be waist to chest high and even bigger sets.  It may be offshore, but it’s still too far to confirm what direction.

Hurricane-Edouard-Ch13-printscreen-09-13-14-532PM

Today was almost Epic! Thursday morning, could be better :) if the offshore winds do happen! , Surf Report and Forecast for Cape Canveral, Cocoa Beach and Satellite beach, posted 4:00 PM 08/27/2014

by oldwaverider, posted in Brevard Surf Predictions Cape Canaveral, Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach

Wednesday night 9:30 PM update!  THE BUOYS ARE BIGGER AND MORE POWERFUL THAN THEY WERE IN THE LAST 36 HOURS!  120 Mile Buoy hit 9.5 feet at 11 seconds (strongest period yet for this swell),  and the 20 mile buoy hit 6.6 feet at 11 seconds, also bigger and stronger than anything today or yesterday, and the reading I just listed was for 8:50 PM Wednesday night!

Today, was almost Epic! Plenty of 100 yard rides to be had, with lots of power.  And yes, there were plenty of entertaining close-outs, but you could let many of them pass by with good judgement 🙂  The almost perfect form, size and power, did not really kick in until around 10:00 AM.   After 10, size climbed a foot on the face size, and the power increased significantly!

The Video below, is a good example of the form we had today, though the size was perhaps, a foot bigger today for Hurricane Cristobal. (The Video is actually from a November 23, 2012 shoot that I did in Satellite Beach)  I just wanted to share how nice the form looked and worked today.

Thursday morning, we should expect the same size as today, if not 6 inches bigger, and I believe the power will be 20% more punch on Thursday.  Why?  The period of the swell increases overnight.  The winds are expected to be 3 to 5 mph onshore E to NE, but again, we could have an hour or so of offshore winds.  Either way, it should be pretty good form and long rides Thursday!

Friday, size drops to waist high with light onshore winds, which will give the NKF Rich Salick Pro/Am Surf Festival/contest something to make it worthwhile to have a contest.

Thursday 8/28 still looking Great, and if the offshores come true then Epic! Check out our Hurricane Bertha Video , plus a Kilometer long Barrell ride video, plus Update on Tropical Storm Cristobal, Surf Report and Forecast for Cape Canveral, Cocoa Beach and Satellite beach, posted 5:45 PM 08/26/2014

by oldwaverider, posted in Brevard Surf Predictions Cape Canaveral, Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach

Thursday is still looking like the Crystal Ball could be an Epic reading for us…  But then, watch out for Wednesday!  I am re-posting our Hurricane Bertha surf video here:

Video by: http://www.walkonwaterproductions.biz

Wednesday should be slight offshore for the Cape and head high to overhead between the Cape, and some North CCB breaks.   Winds should be North in the 6 to 8 mph range at daybreak till around 10 AM.  That is slight offshore for the Cape.  And with the old land, cooling down faster than Sea scientific fact, it could blow NNW Wednesday morning for an hour.

Thursday, still looks to be chest to overhead, with winds from the models showing offshore till maybe 10 AM, but Weather.com shows 3-4 mph onshore at daybreak.  We’ll wee.

Benji Brand in a 1 Kilometer long barrell ride

Friday with leftovers for the contest, waist to stomach high maybe offshore, we’ll see.

Bertha Surf Video, Bertha delivered big, both Tuesday and Wednesday :) Thursday evening Surf report at 8:30 PM, forecast for Cape Canaveral , Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach , posted 08/07/2014

by oldwaverider, posted in A Video collection of Surfing in Brevard, Brevard Huge Swell and Hurricane Photos, Brevard Surf Predictions Cape Canaveral, Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach, Florida Hurricanes, Walk On Water Productions - Surf Videos and More :)

A Small Southeast swell is rolling in, during the day Friday and will be here through Saturday.  We could have some knee to waist high waves with offshore winds both mornings.

The video below is an unknown surfer at 4rth street in Cocoa Beach on Tuesday.  I hope to have a 2 to 4 minute video of Big Tuesday in the next week.  Wednesday had some waist high plus waves too, at O Club and south, however, no video from Wednesday.

video by WalkonWaterProductions.biz

Oldwaverider

Is Bertha Gonna Deliver? 6 days the models say yes ! Tuesday August 5th is still on track for Chest high waves plus ! Monday afternoon Surf report at 4:30 PM, forecast for Cape Canaveral , Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach , posted 08/04/2014

by oldwaverider, posted in Brevard Huge Swell and Hurricane Photos, Brevard Surf Predictions Cape Canaveral, Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach, Walk On Water Productions - Surf Videos and More :)

I shot this photo in Satellite Beach around 1:30 PM, the afternoon of Hurricane Sandy, right after my session. October 28, 2012, by Oldwaverider :)
I shot this photo in Satellite Beach around 1:30 PM, the afternoon of Hurricane Sandy, right after my session. October 28, 2012, by Oldwaverider 🙂

Is Bertha going to give us Size and Perfection tomorrow morning?

Well, we should see Chest high plus sets Tuesday morning, with offshore winds in the 8-12 mph WSW direction until after 1 or 2, then SW.  High tide is 2:36 am, CCB and the Cape.

The swell just hit the 120 mile buoy at 3.9 feet at 13 seconds at 4:50 PM Monday , well today 🙂  It should take around 6-7 hours to hit the beaches.  At 13 seconds, it should travel around 20 mph toward the beach.  11 seconds travels around 17 mph, so yeah, I interpolated 🙂

This photo is from Sandy, a photo that I shot right after my surf session, and no, it won’t be this size, but I just wanted to let my Adolescence run rampant with enthusiasm and optimism…

Tuesday still on track for Chest high waves plus ! Tropical Storm Berth has held it’s strengthening, and offshores for Tuesday Swell August 5 2014. Sunday morning Surf report at 9:15 AM, forecast for Cape Canaveral , Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach , posted 08/03/2014

by oldwaverider, posted in Brevard Surf Predictions Cape Canaveral, Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach

Any changes on Tuesday morning?  Nope!  Still looks to be chest high waves, and head high plus drops on some of the set waves , with offshore winds till noon or past 🙂

Tuesday-08-05-14-6am-Swell-Chart-on-08-03-14-at-9am-Thanks-MagicseaweedWednesday morning should be rideable ,  probably in the knee to thigh high range w bigger sets.

Crazy thing is, Outer Banks/Cape Hatteras is going to have an 8 foot at 13 second period swell Tuesday at noon, when we are having a 3-4 foot swell at 10 seconds.

We’ll take what we can get, and give thanks!

Oldwaverider

 

 

Tuesday-08-05-14-6am-Period-Chart-on-08-03-14-at-9am-Thanks-Magicseaweed

Storm has strengthened slightly! Tropical Storm Bertha our named storm for our Tuesday Swell August 5 2014. Chest high ground swell now I predict now, Saturday morning Surf report at 9:15 AM, forecast for Cape Canaveral , Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach , posted 08/02/2014

by oldwaverider, posted in All The People and the Surfers, Brevard Huge Swell and Hurricane Photos, Brevard Surf Predictions Cape Canaveral, Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach, Mike M.

Tuesday morning, for 4 or 5 days running, appears to be the big and offshore day folks 🙂   and…

Mike Melito - a nice right - TS Maria-Sept-2011-DSC03722Tuesday, We are looking at stomach to chest high waves, with bigger sets during the unexpected moments, haha !  Offshore winds appear to be from daybreak until noon.  I’ll give you a Sunday night update on the winds, when our favorite online news source can provide that for us, in the required 48 hour window.  Wednesday looks fun too, thigh to maybe waist high, and glassy, but the swell drops off fast after lunch perhaps.

The photo could be indicative of some of the set waves that we will be getting Tuesday, August 5 2013 with Tropical Storm Bertha.

The surfer is my friend Mike Melito, and is a shot of him surfing behind his Cocoa Beach home away from home, at fourth street North.

Track the storm on Tuesday morning here on our site.

Oldwaverider

 

Tropical Storm Bertha has been named for our Tuesday Swell, for Tuesday, August 5 2014, stomach high ground swell? , August 01 2014 Surf report at 1:36 PM, forecast for Cape Canaveral , Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach , posted 08/01/2014

by oldwaverider, posted in Brevard Surf Predictions Cape Canaveral, Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach, Local Events in Canaveral or Cocoa Beach

Doe Tuesday still look like the day?  Yeah

TS-Bertha-Monday-08-04-14-at-3PM-Magicseeweed-printscreen-08-01-14Tropical Storm Bertha as you can see, I did a printscreen shot of the storm captured at 3 PM on Monday.   And the next yellow icon of the storm is Tuesday Pm like 5 or 6 PM.   Well,  a general rule of thumb, is when a Hurricane or Tropical Storm has passed Brevard County by 100 miles or so, that is when the winds turn offshore.   That also depends how far off the coast the storm is, and how big (miles across the Fetch) it is.

Anyhow, this is why the models show offshore winds Tuesday AM , at daybreak till noon or so.  High tide is at 2:36 AM for CCB/Cape,  so that’s a good thing, for dawn patrolers and Rock scrapers.

Size for Tuesday AM,  should be in the stomach to chest high  if the period of the swell remains at 10 seconds.  Winds for 4 days running now in the models show offshore.  Sunday night, the 48 hour window, then weather.com gives me a more accurate  reading, and I will post the winds then.  By the way, if the storm increased in intensity, and the period jumped up to 12 seconds,  then size would go up most likely by a couple feet on the face.

If you want to follow the Accu-weather tracking animation/charts, check out our Tracking page here on Monday and Tuesday A.M..

Don’t forget about Friday Fest tonight at the Cape tonight from 6-10 PM.  The Cape website didn’t say who the Live band is this month, so your guess is as good as mine 🙂

Have a Great Friday!

Oldwaverider